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icon for 8月16日香港最低气温?

8月16日香港最低气温?

icon for 8月16日香港最低气温?

8月16日香港最低气温?

28°C 100.0%

23°C或以下 <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$27,925 交易量

28°C 100.0%

23°C或以下 <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$27,925 交易量

23°C或以下

$1,017 交易量

24°C

$1,624 交易量

25°C

$3,127 交易量

26°C

$3,469 交易量

27°C

$3,416 交易量

28°C

$8,671 交易量

29°C

$3,266 交易量

30°C

$1,548 交易量

31°C

$642 交易量

32°C

$605 交易量

33°C或以上

$540 交易量

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum of 28°C overnight into August 16 under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with seasonal monsoon flow that limited radiative cooling. This outcome reflects the typical August climatology of 26–28°C lows in the region, where high humidity and cloud cover prevent sharper drops. Trader consensus at near-100% for 28°C draws from real-time alignment between forecast guidance and post-event station data, with the wisdom of crowds reinforced by capital at risk. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or measurement discrepancy at the headquarters station, though such shifts remain rare given established verification protocols.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$27,925
结束日期
2026-08-16
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum of 28°C overnight into August 16 under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with seasonal monsoon flow that limited radiative cooling. This outcome reflects the typical August climatology of 26–28°C lows in the region, where high humidity and cloud cover prevent sharper drops. Trader consensus at near-100% for 28°C draws from real-time alignment between forecast guidance and post-event station data, with the wisdom of crowds reinforced by capital at risk. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or measurement discrepancy at the headquarters station, though such shifts remain rare given established verification protocols.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$27,925
结束日期
2026-08-16
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"8月16日香港最低气温?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"28°C",概率为 100%,其次是"23°C或以下",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"8月16日香港最低气温?"已产生 $27.9K 的总交易量(自Aug 14, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"8月16日香港最低气温?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"8月16日香港最低气温?"的当前领先者是"28°C",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"23°C或以下",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"8月16日香港最低气温?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。