Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a daily minimum near 28°C on August 16 amid typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and intervals of showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader emphasis on 28°C and 27°C reflects model consensus around these values, with differentiation driven by uncertainty in cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress or enhance nocturnal temperature drops by 1–2°C. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal warmth overall, consistent with climatological August lows near 26–28°C and no recent typhoon or frontal passages to alter the pattern. Final HKO guidance and real-time observations will clarify resolution thresholds before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日香港最低气温?
28°C 45%
27°C 32%
26°C 17%
25°C 5%
$11,735 交易量
$11,735 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
17%
27°C
32%
28°C
45%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 45%
27°C 32%
26°C 17%
25°C 5%
$11,735 交易量
$11,735 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
17%
27°C
32%
28°C
45%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a daily minimum near 28°C on August 16 amid typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and intervals of showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader emphasis on 28°C and 27°C reflects model consensus around these values, with differentiation driven by uncertainty in cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress or enhance nocturnal temperature drops by 1–2°C. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal warmth overall, consistent with climatological August lows near 26–28°C and no recent typhoon or frontal passages to alter the pattern. Final HKO guidance and real-time observations will clarify resolution thresholds before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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