Latest forecast models and observational data indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 21 is most likely settling near 21–23 °C, reflected in the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara are limiting further drops, while urban heat retention and residual humidity prevent a sharper decline. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight low, with limited potential for values at or below 20 °C unless clearer skies develop rapidly. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service readings and nearby station data will determine the final recorded minimum, with traders monitoring any last-hour revisions to model output or real-time observations that could shift resolution between the leading bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于伊斯坦布尔8月21日的最低温度？
伊斯坦布尔8月21日的最低温度？
18°C 59%
19°C 59%
21°C 35%
23°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
17°C or below
33%
18°C
59%
19°C
59%
20°C
31%
21°C
35%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
18°C 59%
19°C 59%
21°C 35%
23°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
17°C or below
$109 交易量
33%
18°C
$173 交易量
59%
19°C
$123 交易量
59%
20°C
$77 交易量
31%
21°C
$0 交易量
35%
22°C
$16 交易量
34%
23°C
$0 交易量
34%
24°C
$227 交易量
1%
25°C
$435 交易量
1%
26°C
$937 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$357 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models and observational data indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 21 is most likely settling near 21–23 °C, reflected in the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara are limiting further drops, while urban heat retention and residual humidity prevent a sharper decline. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight low, with limited potential for values at or below 20 °C unless clearer skies develop rapidly. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service readings and nearby station data will determine the final recorded minimum, with traders monitoring any last-hour revisions to model output or real-time observations that could shift resolution between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,455结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models and observational data indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 21 is most likely settling near 21–23 °C, reflected in the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara are limiting further drops, while urban heat retention and residual humidity prevent a sharper decline. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight low, with limited potential for values at or below 20 °C unless clearer skies develop rapidly. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service readings and nearby station data will determine the final recorded minimum, with traders monitoring any last-hour revisions to model output or real-time observations that could shift resolution between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,455结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models and observational data indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 21 is most likely settling near 21–23 °C, reflected in the tightly clustered market-implied odds. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara are limiting further drops, while urban heat retention and residual humidity prevent a sharper decline. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in the overnight low, with limited potential for values at or below 20 °C unless clearer skies develop rapidly. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service readings and nearby station data will determine the final recorded minimum, with traders monitoring any last-hour revisions to model output or real-time observations that could shift resolution between the leading bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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