Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate persistent warm, humid conditions over eastern China will keep Jinan’s overnight low on August 24 near 24–26 °C, well above the 22 °C threshold that leads market-implied odds at 55 %. Light southerly winds, elevated dew points, and possible thundery showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the regional subtropical ridge maintains a warm air mass. Ensemble model consensus shows little spread around these values, with historical August climatology (average lows near 23 °C) reinforcing the outlook. Traders appear to price in this stability ahead of the next model cycle and any late-day frontal adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日济南最低气温？
8月24日济南最低气温？
19°C 50%
21°C 49%
20°C 45%
15°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
12°C或以下
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
2%
15°C
12%
16°C
9%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
50%
20°C
45%
21°C
49%
22°C或以上
56%
19°C 50%
21°C 49%
20°C 45%
15°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
12°C或以下
$241 交易量
2%
13°C
$76 交易量
7%
14°C
$78 交易量
2%
15°C
$140 交易量
12%
16°C
$339 交易量
9%
17°C
$102 交易量
2%
18°C
$78 交易量
2%
19°C
$10 交易量
50%
20°C
$140 交易量
45%
21°C
$140 交易量
49%
22°C或以上
$247 交易量
56%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate persistent warm, humid conditions over eastern China will keep Jinan’s overnight low on August 24 near 24–26 °C, well above the 22 °C threshold that leads market-implied odds at 55 %. Light southerly winds, elevated dew points, and possible thundery showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the regional subtropical ridge maintains a warm air mass. Ensemble model consensus shows little spread around these values, with historical August climatology (average lows near 23 °C) reinforcing the outlook. Traders appear to price in this stability ahead of the next model cycle and any late-day frontal adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$1,591结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate persistent warm, humid conditions over eastern China will keep Jinan’s overnight low on August 24 near 24–26 °C, well above the 22 °C threshold that leads market-implied odds at 55 %. Light southerly winds, elevated dew points, and possible thundery showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the regional subtropical ridge maintains a warm air mass. Ensemble model consensus shows little spread around these values, with historical August climatology (average lows near 23 °C) reinforcing the outlook. Traders appear to price in this stability ahead of the next model cycle and any late-day frontal adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,591结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate persistent warm, humid conditions over eastern China will keep Jinan’s overnight low on August 24 near 24–26 °C, well above the 22 °C threshold that leads market-implied odds at 55 %. Light southerly winds, elevated dew points, and possible thundery showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the regional subtropical ridge maintains a warm air mass. Ensemble model consensus shows little spread around these values, with historical August climatology (average lows near 23 °C) reinforcing the outlook. Traders appear to price in this stability ahead of the next model cycle and any late-day frontal adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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