Persistent summer conditions in northern China, combined with official forecasts projecting daytime highs of 32–35°C for Jinan on August 24, underpin the market’s 100% implied probability for a maximum of 26°C or higher. Late-August climatology for the region features average highs near 30°C, with current model runs from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration showing limited diurnal cooling from thunderstorms and no significant frontal passages. Historical precedent indicates that only rare, strong cold-air intrusions or prolonged heavy rain would drop the daily maximum below this threshold; absent such developments, the outcome remains strongly supported by observational trends and ensemble guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日济南气温最高？
8月24日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
16°C or below
$1,072 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,067 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,067 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,067 交易量
<1%
20°C
$122 交易量
<1%
21°C
$122 交易量
<1%
22°C
$122 交易量
<1%
23°C
$772 交易量
<1%
24°C
$122 交易量
<1%
25°C
$333 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,967 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer conditions in northern China, combined with official forecasts projecting daytime highs of 32–35°C for Jinan on August 24, underpin the market’s 100% implied probability for a maximum of 26°C or higher. Late-August climatology for the region features average highs near 30°C, with current model runs from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration showing limited diurnal cooling from thunderstorms and no significant frontal passages. Historical precedent indicates that only rare, strong cold-air intrusions or prolonged heavy rain would drop the daily maximum below this threshold; absent such developments, the outcome remains strongly supported by observational trends and ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$7,836结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer conditions in northern China, combined with official forecasts projecting daytime highs of 32–35°C for Jinan on August 24, underpin the market’s 100% implied probability for a maximum of 26°C or higher. Late-August climatology for the region features average highs near 30°C, with current model runs from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration showing limited diurnal cooling from thunderstorms and no significant frontal passages. Historical precedent indicates that only rare, strong cold-air intrusions or prolonged heavy rain would drop the daily maximum below this threshold; absent such developments, the outcome remains strongly supported by observational trends and ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,836结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETPersistent summer conditions in northern China, combined with official forecasts projecting daytime highs of 32–35°C for Jinan on August 24, underpin the market’s 100% implied probability for a maximum of 26°C or higher. Late-August climatology for the region features average highs near 30°C, with current model runs from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration showing limited diurnal cooling from thunderstorms and no significant frontal passages. Historical precedent indicates that only rare, strong cold-air intrusions or prolonged heavy rain would drop the daily maximum below this threshold; absent such developments, the outcome remains strongly supported by observational trends and ensemble guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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