Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a peak of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 24, reflecting forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration showing persistent subtropical high pressure and southerly flow sustaining heat across the North China Plain. Late-August climatology typically features daytime maxima of 30–34°C under humid conditions, with model runs indicating minimal cooling from cloud cover or frontal activity. Recent observational trends show surface temperatures tracking above seasonal averages amid weak monsoon influences, though ensemble spread leaves room for a 31°C outcome if localized convection develops. Key resolution hinges on official station readings at the Zhengzhou meteorological site, with updates expected from routine daily briefings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日郑州气温最高?
31°C 32%
30°C 14%
29°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
14%
31°C
32%
32°C or higher
53%
31°C 32%
30°C 14%
29°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
14%
31°C
32%
32°C or higher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a peak of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 24, reflecting forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration showing persistent subtropical high pressure and southerly flow sustaining heat across the North China Plain. Late-August climatology typically features daytime maxima of 30–34°C under humid conditions, with model runs indicating minimal cooling from cloud cover or frontal activity. Recent observational trends show surface temperatures tracking above seasonal averages amid weak monsoon influences, though ensemble spread leaves room for a 31°C outcome if localized convection develops. Key resolution hinges on official station readings at the Zhengzhou meteorological site, with updates expected from routine daily briefings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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