Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate clear overnight conditions over Jinan, promoting radiative cooling under light winds and moderate humidity, which supports a minimum temperature near 16–18 °C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 14–16 °C, reflecting trader uncertainty over exact cooling rates influenced by variable low-level moisture and subtle steering flow differences in the latest model runs. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows in the upper teens, providing context for why probabilities remain balanced rather than concentrated on a single threshold. Updated guidance expected overnight from regional meteorological centers could refine the final observed minimum before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日济南最低气温？
9月13日济南最低气温？
14°C 100%
22°C或更高 100%
15°C 99%
21°C 92%
$1,690 交易量
$1,690 交易量
2026-09-13
12°C或以下
1%
13°C
90%
14°C
100%
15°C
99%
16°C
-
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
92%
22°C或更高
100%
14°C 100%
22°C或更高 100%
15°C 99%
21°C 92%
$1,690 交易量
$1,690 交易量
2026-09-13
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
13°C
$0 交易量
90%
14°C
$0 交易量
100%
15°C
$0 交易量
99%
16°C
$212 交易量
-
17°C
$25 交易量
2%
18°C
$514 交易量
<1%
19°C
$493 交易量
1%
20°C
$327 交易量
1%
21°C
$119 交易量
92%
22°C或更高
$0 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate clear overnight conditions over Jinan, promoting radiative cooling under light winds and moderate humidity, which supports a minimum temperature near 16–18 °C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 14–16 °C, reflecting trader uncertainty over exact cooling rates influenced by variable low-level moisture and subtle steering flow differences in the latest model runs. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows in the upper teens, providing context for why probabilities remain balanced rather than concentrated on a single threshold. Updated guidance expected overnight from regional meteorological centers could refine the final observed minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$1,690结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate clear overnight conditions over Jinan, promoting radiative cooling under light winds and moderate humidity, which supports a minimum temperature near 16–18 °C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 14–16 °C, reflecting trader uncertainty over exact cooling rates influenced by variable low-level moisture and subtle steering flow differences in the latest model runs. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows in the upper teens, providing context for why probabilities remain balanced rather than concentrated on a single threshold. Updated guidance expected overnight from regional meteorological centers could refine the final observed minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,690结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate clear overnight conditions over Jinan, promoting radiative cooling under light winds and moderate humidity, which supports a minimum temperature near 16–18 °C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 14–16 °C, reflecting trader uncertainty over exact cooling rates influenced by variable low-level moisture and subtle steering flow differences in the latest model runs. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows in the upper teens, providing context for why probabilities remain balanced rather than concentrated on a single threshold. Updated guidance expected overnight from regional meteorological centers could refine the final observed minimum before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题