**Current forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models, including those from the UK Met Office and ECMWF, indicate a minimum temperature of 10°C for London on June 11, 2026, driven by typical early-summer radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions following daytime highs near 19–21°C.** This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, where average lows hover around 11–12°C, and recent model runs show consistent output with limited spread due to stable high-pressure influences and light winds that promote efficient surface heat loss without significant advection of warmer air. Trader consensus at 99.7% for exactly 10°C reflects high confidence in these ensemble forecasts and historical verification rates for similar setups, though the market-implied odds acknowledge minor uncertainty in precise measurement at official stations. Realistic challenges could arise from unexpected increases in low-level cloud cover raising the minimum by 1–2°C, a shift in steering patterns introducing milder maritime air, or localized urban heat-island effects varying by station—factors that updated model runs or morning observations could still adjust before final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月11日伦敦最低气温?
10°C 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$27,906 交易量
$27,906 交易量
5°C或以下
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C或以上
<1%
10°C 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$27,906 交易量
$27,906 交易量
5°C或以下
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models, including those from the UK Met Office and ECMWF, indicate a minimum temperature of 10°C for London on June 11, 2026, driven by typical early-summer radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions following daytime highs near 19–21°C.** This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, where average lows hover around 11–12°C, and recent model runs show consistent output with limited spread due to stable high-pressure influences and light winds that promote efficient surface heat loss without significant advection of warmer air. Trader consensus at 99.7% for exactly 10°C reflects high confidence in these ensemble forecasts and historical verification rates for similar setups, though the market-implied odds acknowledge minor uncertainty in precise measurement at official stations. Realistic challenges could arise from unexpected increases in low-level cloud cover raising the minimum by 1–2°C, a shift in steering patterns introducing milder maritime air, or localized urban heat-island effects varying by station—factors that updated model runs or morning observations could still adjust before final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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