Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and major models points to a minimum near 71°F for Los Angeles on August 24, supporting the market's leading 70-71°F bucket at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent onshore flow and a stable marine layer are expected to limit overnight cooling, with dew points in the low-to-mid 60s and light west-southwest winds preventing significant radiational cooling typical of clearer, drier conditions. Recent days have featured similar mild lows around 67-70°F amid above-normal heat, aligning with late-August climatology where coastal stations average 65-68°F but urban heat islands and weak gradients often push readings higher. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any low-cloud development or minor model shifts in boundary-layer moisture, which could differentiate outcomes between the closely matched 68-69°F and 70-71°F ranges versus warmer scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日洛杉矶最低温度？
8月24日洛杉矶最低温度？
68-69°F 52%
70-71°F 37%
76-77°F 34%
80°F或更高 31%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
华氏61度或以下
22%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
45%
70-71°F
41%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
2%
80°F或更高
31%
68-69°F 52%
70-71°F 37%
76-77°F 34%
80°F或更高 31%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
华氏61度或以下
$0 交易量
22%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
19%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
19%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
18%
68-69°F
$11 交易量
45%
70-71°F
$5 交易量
41%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
19%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
19%
76-77°F
$5 交易量
34%
78-79°F
$5 交易量
2%
80°F或更高
$135 交易量
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and major models points to a minimum near 71°F for Los Angeles on August 24, supporting the market's leading 70-71°F bucket at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent onshore flow and a stable marine layer are expected to limit overnight cooling, with dew points in the low-to-mid 60s and light west-southwest winds preventing significant radiational cooling typical of clearer, drier conditions. Recent days have featured similar mild lows around 67-70°F amid above-normal heat, aligning with late-August climatology where coastal stations average 65-68°F but urban heat islands and weak gradients often push readings higher. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any low-cloud development or minor model shifts in boundary-layer moisture, which could differentiate outcomes between the closely matched 68-69°F and 70-71°F ranges versus warmer scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$161结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and major models points to a minimum near 71°F for Los Angeles on August 24, supporting the market's leading 70-71°F bucket at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent onshore flow and a stable marine layer are expected to limit overnight cooling, with dew points in the low-to-mid 60s and light west-southwest winds preventing significant radiational cooling typical of clearer, drier conditions. Recent days have featured similar mild lows around 67-70°F amid above-normal heat, aligning with late-August climatology where coastal stations average 65-68°F but urban heat islands and weak gradients often push readings higher. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any low-cloud development or minor model shifts in boundary-layer moisture, which could differentiate outcomes between the closely matched 68-69°F and 70-71°F ranges versus warmer scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$161结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETForecast consensus from National Weather Service and major models points to a minimum near 71°F for Los Angeles on August 24, supporting the market's leading 70-71°F bucket at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent onshore flow and a stable marine layer are expected to limit overnight cooling, with dew points in the low-to-mid 60s and light west-southwest winds preventing significant radiational cooling typical of clearer, drier conditions. Recent days have featured similar mild lows around 67-70°F amid above-normal heat, aligning with late-August climatology where coastal stations average 65-68°F but urban heat islands and weak gradients often push readings higher. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any low-cloud development or minor model shifts in boundary-layer moisture, which could differentiate outcomes between the closely matched 68-69°F and 70-71°F ranges versus warmer scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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