Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport under National Weather Service protocols, recorded a daily minimum of 68–69°F on August 16, 2026. This outcome reflects verified hourly readings and quality-controlled data releases that close the market window once the calendar day ends. The 100% market-implied probability stems from the certainty of post-event verification, where final lows are determined by standardized instrumentation rather than forecasts. Minor challenges could arise only from rare post-processing revisions due to sensor calibration issues or station-specific anomalies, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are infrequent and small in magnitude for summer minimum temperatures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月16日的最低温度？
纽约市8月16日的最低温度？
68-69°F 100.0%
63华氏度或更低 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$20,535 交易量
$20,535 交易量
2026-08-16
63华氏度或更低
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
是
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82°F或更高
否
68-69°F 100.0%
63华氏度或更低 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$20,535 交易量
$20,535 交易量
2026-08-16
63华氏度或更低
$432 交易量
否
64-65°F
$714 交易量
否
66-67°F
$1,366 交易量
否
68-69°F
$1,452 交易量
是
70-71°F
$8,872 交易量
否
72-73°F
$3,104 交易量
否
74-75°F
$2,543 交易量
否
76-77°F
$724 交易量
否
78-79°F
$667 交易量
否
80-81°F
$381 交易量
否
82°F或更高
$281 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport under National Weather Service protocols, recorded a daily minimum of 68–69°F on August 16, 2026. This outcome reflects verified hourly readings and quality-controlled data releases that close the market window once the calendar day ends. The 100% market-implied probability stems from the certainty of post-event verification, where final lows are determined by standardized instrumentation rather than forecasts. Minor challenges could arise only from rare post-processing revisions due to sensor calibration issues or station-specific anomalies, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are infrequent and small in magnitude for summer minimum temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$20,535结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport under National Weather Service protocols, recorded a daily minimum of 68–69°F on August 16, 2026. This outcome reflects verified hourly readings and quality-controlled data releases that close the market window once the calendar day ends. The 100% market-implied probability stems from the certainty of post-event verification, where final lows are determined by standardized instrumentation rather than forecasts. Minor challenges could arise only from rare post-processing revisions due to sensor calibration issues or station-specific anomalies, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are infrequent and small in magnitude for summer minimum temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,535结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport under National Weather Service protocols, recorded a daily minimum of 68–69°F on August 16, 2026. This outcome reflects verified hourly readings and quality-controlled data releases that close the market window once the calendar day ends. The 100% market-implied probability stems from the certainty of post-event verification, where final lows are determined by standardized instrumentation rather than forecasts. Minor challenges could arise only from rare post-processing revisions due to sensor calibration issues or station-specific anomalies, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are infrequent and small in magnitude for summer minimum temperatures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题