Traders assign the highest probabilities to a lowest temperature of 24–27°C in Panama City on August 21 because this range aligns with the typical nocturnal minimum during the rainy season, when high humidity (often above 80%) and frequent cloud cover from Atlantic moisture limit radiative cooling. Persistent trade winds and scattered showers further moderate overnight drops, keeping values near the long-term August average of 24–25°C rather than allowing stronger cooling under clear skies. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows little deviation expected today, though any localized clearing before dawn could nudge the reading 1–2°C lower, explaining the tight clustering of implied odds around these outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日巴拿马城最低温度？
8月21日巴拿马城最低温度？
22°C 46%
24°C 28%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
21°C or below
1%
22°C
46%
23°C
8%
24°C
28%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
28%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 46%
24°C 28%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
21°C or below
$133 交易量
1%
22°C
$96 交易量
46%
23°C
$124 交易量
8%
24°C
$0 交易量
28%
25°C
$0 交易量
28%
26°C
$0 交易量
28%
27°C
$0 交易量
28%
28°C
$0 交易量
28%
29°C
$500 交易量
1%
30°C
$415 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$896 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probabilities to a lowest temperature of 24–27°C in Panama City on August 21 because this range aligns with the typical nocturnal minimum during the rainy season, when high humidity (often above 80%) and frequent cloud cover from Atlantic moisture limit radiative cooling. Persistent trade winds and scattered showers further moderate overnight drops, keeping values near the long-term August average of 24–25°C rather than allowing stronger cooling under clear skies. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows little deviation expected today, though any localized clearing before dawn could nudge the reading 1–2°C lower, explaining the tight clustering of implied odds around these outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,163结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probabilities to a lowest temperature of 24–27°C in Panama City on August 21 because this range aligns with the typical nocturnal minimum during the rainy season, when high humidity (often above 80%) and frequent cloud cover from Atlantic moisture limit radiative cooling. Persistent trade winds and scattered showers further moderate overnight drops, keeping values near the long-term August average of 24–25°C rather than allowing stronger cooling under clear skies. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows little deviation expected today, though any localized clearing before dawn could nudge the reading 1–2°C lower, explaining the tight clustering of implied odds around these outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,163结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETTraders assign the highest probabilities to a lowest temperature of 24–27°C in Panama City on August 21 because this range aligns with the typical nocturnal minimum during the rainy season, when high humidity (often above 80%) and frequent cloud cover from Atlantic moisture limit radiative cooling. Persistent trade winds and scattered showers further moderate overnight drops, keeping values near the long-term August average of 24–25°C rather than allowing stronger cooling under clear skies. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows little deviation expected today, though any localized clearing before dawn could nudge the reading 1–2°C lower, explaining the tight clustering of implied odds around these outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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