Trader consensus reflects the strong alignment of observational data and forecast models from agencies like Météo-France, showing Paris overnight lows typically between 15–18°C during mid-August under current synoptic patterns. Recent cooldown following earlier heat has produced clear skies and light winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset, keeping the daily minimum well below the 22°C threshold. Historical climatology further supports this outcome, with August lows rarely exceeding 20°C absent unusual warm advection. Only an unexpected nocturnal warming event, such as a rapid shift in air mass or measurement anomaly at the official station, could realistically alter the result before final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日巴黎最低气温？
8月15日巴黎最低气温？
22°C或以下 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$27,980 交易量
$27,980 交易量
2026-08-15
22°C或以下
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或更高
否
22°C或以下 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$27,980 交易量
$27,980 交易量
2026-08-15
22°C或以下
$11,864 交易量
是
23°C
$8,301 交易量
否
24°C
$3,276 交易量
否
25°C
$1,727 交易量
否
26°C
$659 交易量
否
27°C
$376 交易量
否
28°C
$326 交易量
否
29°C
$326 交易量
否
30°C
$321 交易量
否
31°C
$426 交易量
否
32°C或更高
$377 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflects the strong alignment of observational data and forecast models from agencies like Météo-France, showing Paris overnight lows typically between 15–18°C during mid-August under current synoptic patterns. Recent cooldown following earlier heat has produced clear skies and light winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset, keeping the daily minimum well below the 22°C threshold. Historical climatology further supports this outcome, with August lows rarely exceeding 20°C absent unusual warm advection. Only an unexpected nocturnal warming event, such as a rapid shift in air mass or measurement anomaly at the official station, could realistically alter the result before final verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
交易量
$27,980结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflects the strong alignment of observational data and forecast models from agencies like Météo-France, showing Paris overnight lows typically between 15–18°C during mid-August under current synoptic patterns. Recent cooldown following earlier heat has produced clear skies and light winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset, keeping the daily minimum well below the 22°C threshold. Historical climatology further supports this outcome, with August lows rarely exceeding 20°C absent unusual warm advection. Only an unexpected nocturnal warming event, such as a rapid shift in air mass or measurement anomaly at the official station, could realistically alter the result before final verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,980结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus reflects the strong alignment of observational data and forecast models from agencies like Météo-France, showing Paris overnight lows typically between 15–18°C during mid-August under current synoptic patterns. Recent cooldown following earlier heat has produced clear skies and light winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset, keeping the daily minimum well below the 22°C threshold. Historical climatology further supports this outcome, with August lows rarely exceeding 20°C absent unusual warm advection. Only an unexpected nocturnal warming event, such as a rapid shift in air mass or measurement anomaly at the official station, could realistically alter the result before final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题