Recent forecasts from multiple models show Qingdao's overnight minimum on September 13 likely settling between 18–22 °C, with the tight 18 °C versus 19 °C split reflecting modest differences in radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Coastal marine air and high humidity limit diurnal temperature range, while weak winds reduce turbulent mixing that could otherwise allow sharper drops. Ensemble guidance indicates stable conditions without strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiational cooling episodes that would push readings to 16 °C or below, keeping the market-implied odds centered on the narrow 18–19 °C band as traders weigh the latest model runs ahead of official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日青岛最低气温？
9月13日青岛最低气温？
16℃或以下 97%
17°C 96%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
16℃或以下
97%
17°C
96%
18°C
48%
19°C
50%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
16℃或以下 97%
17°C 96%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
16℃或以下
$0 交易量
97%
17°C
$0 交易量
96%
18°C
$15 交易量
48%
19°C
$7 交易量
50%
20°C
$139 交易量
<1%
21°C
$15 交易量
<1%
22°C
$303 交易量
<1%
23°C
$159 交易量
<1%
24°C
$15 交易量
<1%
25°C
$15 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Qingdao's overnight minimum on September 13 likely settling between 18–22 °C, with the tight 18 °C versus 19 °C split reflecting modest differences in radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Coastal marine air and high humidity limit diurnal temperature range, while weak winds reduce turbulent mixing that could otherwise allow sharper drops. Ensemble guidance indicates stable conditions without strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiational cooling episodes that would push readings to 16 °C or below, keeping the market-implied odds centered on the narrow 18–19 °C band as traders weigh the latest model runs ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$683结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Qingdao's overnight minimum on September 13 likely settling between 18–22 °C, with the tight 18 °C versus 19 °C split reflecting modest differences in radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Coastal marine air and high humidity limit diurnal temperature range, while weak winds reduce turbulent mixing that could otherwise allow sharper drops. Ensemble guidance indicates stable conditions without strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiational cooling episodes that would push readings to 16 °C or below, keeping the market-implied odds centered on the narrow 18–19 °C band as traders weigh the latest model runs ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$683结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models show Qingdao's overnight minimum on September 13 likely settling between 18–22 °C, with the tight 18 °C versus 19 °C split reflecting modest differences in radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Coastal marine air and high humidity limit diurnal temperature range, while weak winds reduce turbulent mixing that could otherwise allow sharper drops. Ensemble guidance indicates stable conditions without strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiational cooling episodes that would push readings to 16 °C or below, keeping the market-implied odds centered on the narrow 18–19 °C band as traders weigh the latest model runs ahead of official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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