Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C low for Seoul (Incheon) on September 12, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing a stable post-frontal air mass with light winds and clear skies limiting radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble models indicate dew points and boundary-layer temperatures consistent with this threshold, aligning with historical September climatology for the region. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings from Incheon station; realistic challenges include a late-model shift from unexpected moisture advection or instrumentation variance at the measurement site, though current observational data and short-range guidance show low likelihood of deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
9月12日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
18°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$10,472 交易量
$10,472 交易量
2026-09-12
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$10,472 交易量
$10,472 交易量
2026-09-12
13°C或以下
$259 交易量
否
14°C
$56 交易量
否
15°C
$56 交易量
否
16°C
$238 交易量
否
17°C
$2,200 交易量
否
18°C
$3,512 交易量
是
19°C
$2,961 交易量
否
20°C
$393 交易量
否
21°C
$251 交易量
否
22°C
$287 交易量
否
23°C或更高
$259 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C low for Seoul (Incheon) on September 12, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing a stable post-frontal air mass with light winds and clear skies limiting radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble models indicate dew points and boundary-layer temperatures consistent with this threshold, aligning with historical September climatology for the region. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings from Incheon station; realistic challenges include a late-model shift from unexpected moisture advection or instrumentation variance at the measurement site, though current observational data and short-range guidance show low likelihood of deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$10,472结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C low for Seoul (Incheon) on September 12, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing a stable post-frontal air mass with light winds and clear skies limiting radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble models indicate dew points and boundary-layer temperatures consistent with this threshold, aligning with historical September climatology for the region. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings from Incheon station; realistic challenges include a late-model shift from unexpected moisture advection or instrumentation variance at the measurement site, though current observational data and short-range guidance show low likelihood of deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,472结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C low for Seoul (Incheon) on September 12, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing a stable post-frontal air mass with light winds and clear skies limiting radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble models indicate dew points and boundary-layer temperatures consistent with this threshold, aligning with historical September climatology for the region. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings from Incheon station; realistic challenges include a late-model shift from unexpected moisture advection or instrumentation variance at the measurement site, though current observational data and short-range guidance show low likelihood of deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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