Recent forecasts from Central Weather Administration models and international sources indicate Taipei's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and residual moisture from a weakening tropical depression system. These conditions moderate radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, aligning with September climatology where average lows range 23–25°C. Trader emphasis on 26°C and nearby bins reflects consensus across ensemble runs showing limited variability, while lower probabilities for extremes account for potential model shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing before resolution. Updated guidance through September 1 evening will refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日台北气温最低?
21°C or below 100%
28°C 84%
29°C 83%
25°C 82%
21°C or below
100%
22°C
14%
23°C
60%
24°C
64%
25°C
82%
26°C
71%
27°C
34%
28°C
84%
29°C
83%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
7%
21°C or below 100%
28°C 84%
29°C 83%
25°C 82%
21°C or below
100%
22°C
14%
23°C
60%
24°C
64%
25°C
82%
26°C
71%
27°C
34%
28°C
84%
29°C
83%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Central Weather Administration models and international sources indicate Taipei's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and residual moisture from a weakening tropical depression system. These conditions moderate radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, aligning with September climatology where average lows range 23–25°C. Trader emphasis on 26°C and nearby bins reflects consensus across ensemble runs showing limited variability, while lower probabilities for extremes account for potential model shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing before resolution. Updated guidance through September 1 evening will refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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