Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project an 18°C overnight minimum for Tokyo on June 11, aligning precisely with the long-term climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C for the date. Stable atmospheric conditions without strong cold-air advection or significant frontal passages support this consensus, keeping the observed low within a narrow band around the average. Trader sentiment reflects verified JMA station data rather than speculative adjustments, with near-100% implied probability indicating minimal uncertainty in the current setup. Realistic challenges remain limited to minor localized effects or final reporting revisions, though historical June patterns and model agreement constrain meaningful deviations. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum recorded by JMA monitoring.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月11日东京气温最低？
6月11日东京气温最低？
18°C 99.0%
17°C <1%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
$21,887 交易量
$21,887 交易量
2026-06-11
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
18°C 99.0%
17°C <1%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
$21,887 交易量
$21,887 交易量
2026-06-11
13°C或以下
$517 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,410 交易量
<1%
15°C
$996 交易量
<1%
16°C
$862 交易量
1%
17°C
$1,252 交易量
1%
18°C
$3,012 交易量
99%
19°C
$4,747 交易量
<1%
20°C
$5,376 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,405 交易量
<1%
22°C
$739 交易量
<1%
23°C或更高
$1,573 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project an 18°C overnight minimum for Tokyo on June 11, aligning precisely with the long-term climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C for the date. Stable atmospheric conditions without strong cold-air advection or significant frontal passages support this consensus, keeping the observed low within a narrow band around the average. Trader sentiment reflects verified JMA station data rather than speculative adjustments, with near-100% implied probability indicating minimal uncertainty in the current setup. Realistic challenges remain limited to minor localized effects or final reporting revisions, though historical June patterns and model agreement constrain meaningful deviations. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum recorded by JMA monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$21,887结束日期
2026-06-11市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project an 18°C overnight minimum for Tokyo on June 11, aligning precisely with the long-term climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C for the date. Stable atmospheric conditions without strong cold-air advection or significant frontal passages support this consensus, keeping the observed low within a narrow band around the average. Trader sentiment reflects verified JMA station data rather than speculative adjustments, with near-100% implied probability indicating minimal uncertainty in the current setup. Realistic challenges remain limited to minor localized effects or final reporting revisions, though historical June patterns and model agreement constrain meaningful deviations. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum recorded by JMA monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,887结束日期
2026-06-11市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project an 18°C overnight minimum for Tokyo on June 11, aligning precisely with the long-term climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C for the date. Stable atmospheric conditions without strong cold-air advection or significant frontal passages support this consensus, keeping the observed low within a narrow band around the average. Trader sentiment reflects verified JMA station data rather than speculative adjustments, with near-100% implied probability indicating minimal uncertainty in the current setup. Realistic challenges remain limited to minor localized effects or final reporting revisions, though historical June patterns and model agreement constrain meaningful deviations. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum recorded by JMA monitoring.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题