Forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 1 will likely fall between 23–25 °C, driven by persistent high dew points near 22–24 °C, light southeast winds, and extensive low-level cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Traders have clustered on 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability under a stable subtropical ridge, with historical early-September climatology placing average lows near 23 °C. Key uncertainties center on exact timing of any clearing and urban heat-island effects, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1 °C either way before official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日东京最低气温？
9月1日东京最低气温？
24°C 48%
25°C 38%
20°C 12%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
19°C or below
2%
20°C
12%
21°C
6%
22°C
9%
23°C
6%
24°C
48%
25°C
38%
26°C
8%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
25°C 38%
20°C 12%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
19°C or below
$10 交易量
2%
20°C
$51 交易量
12%
21°C
$148 交易量
6%
22°C
$41 交易量
9%
23°C
$84 交易量
6%
24°C
$6 交易量
48%
25°C
$0 交易量
38%
26°C
$0 交易量
8%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
1%
29°C or higher
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 1 will likely fall between 23–25 °C, driven by persistent high dew points near 22–24 °C, light southeast winds, and extensive low-level cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Traders have clustered on 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability under a stable subtropical ridge, with historical early-September climatology placing average lows near 23 °C. Key uncertainties center on exact timing of any clearing and urban heat-island effects, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1 °C either way before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$340结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 1 will likely fall between 23–25 °C, driven by persistent high dew points near 22–24 °C, light southeast winds, and extensive low-level cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Traders have clustered on 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability under a stable subtropical ridge, with historical early-September climatology placing average lows near 23 °C. Key uncertainties center on exact timing of any clearing and urban heat-island effects, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1 °C either way before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$340结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 1 will likely fall between 23–25 °C, driven by persistent high dew points near 22–24 °C, light southeast winds, and extensive low-level cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Traders have clustered on 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability under a stable subtropical ridge, with historical early-September climatology placing average lows near 23 °C. Key uncertainties center on exact timing of any clearing and urban heat-island effects, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1 °C either way before official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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