Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's re-election bid in the deeply Democratic MN-04, with its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting consistent 35-point general election margins in 2022 and 2024, where she defeated Republican challengers amid Kamala Harris's 67-31 district win. McCollum holds a dominant $669,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing GOP primary contenders Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong. With primaries on August 11 and filing deadline June 2, ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball list the seat as Safe Democratic. Upsets could stem from a McCollum scandal, her primary loss to Aswar Rahman, a star Republican recruit, or a national GOP midterm surge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,191 交易量
93%
共和党
$2,167 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's re-election bid in the deeply Democratic MN-04, with its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting consistent 35-point general election margins in 2022 and 2024, where she defeated Republican challengers amid Kamala Harris's 67-31 district win. McCollum holds a dominant $669,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing GOP primary contenders Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong. With primaries on August 11 and filing deadline June 2, ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball list the seat as Safe Democratic. Upsets could stem from a McCollum scandal, her primary loss to Aswar Rahman, a star Republican recruit, or a national GOP midterm surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$4,358结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's re-election bid in the deeply Democratic MN-04, with its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting consistent 35-point general election margins in 2022 and 2024, where she defeated Republican challengers amid Kamala Harris's 67-31 district win. McCollum holds a dominant $669,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing GOP primary contenders Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong. With primaries on August 11 and filing deadline June 2, ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball list the seat as Safe Democratic. Upsets could stem from a McCollum scandal, her primary loss to Aswar Rahman, a star Republican recruit, or a national GOP midterm surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,358结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's re-election bid in the deeply Democratic MN-04, with its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting consistent 35-point general election margins in 2022 and 2024, where she defeated Republican challengers amid Kamala Harris's 67-31 district win. McCollum holds a dominant $669,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing GOP primary contenders Paul Wikstrom and Paul Xiong. With primaries on August 11 and filing deadline June 2, ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball list the seat as Safe Democratic. Upsets could stem from a McCollum scandal, her primary loss to Aswar Rahman, a star Republican recruit, or a national GOP midterm surge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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