Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. The district’s R+5 partisan voting index and 13-point Trump margin in 2024 provide structural advantages, reinforced by Van Drew’s unopposed primary status and substantial cash-on-hand lead. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder, face an early June 2 contest that will determine the general-election nominee. Recent polling and fundraising reports show limited momentum for challengers against an entrenched incumbent in a district with modest Republican registration edges. Upcoming primary results and any national midterm dynamics could influence final positioning before the November vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,869 交易量
$12,869 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
26%
$12,869 交易量
$12,869 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,353 交易量
70%
民主党
$6,515 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. The district’s R+5 partisan voting index and 13-point Trump margin in 2024 provide structural advantages, reinforced by Van Drew’s unopposed primary status and substantial cash-on-hand lead. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder, face an early June 2 contest that will determine the general-election nominee. Recent polling and fundraising reports show limited momentum for challengers against an entrenched incumbent in a district with modest Republican registration edges. Upcoming primary results and any national midterm dynamics could influence final positioning before the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$12,869结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. The district’s R+5 partisan voting index and 13-point Trump margin in 2024 provide structural advantages, reinforced by Van Drew’s unopposed primary status and substantial cash-on-hand lead. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder, face an early June 2 contest that will determine the general-election nominee. Recent polling and fundraising reports show limited momentum for challengers against an entrenched incumbent in a district with modest Republican registration edges. Upcoming primary results and any national midterm dynamics could influence final positioning before the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,869结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. The district’s R+5 partisan voting index and 13-point Trump margin in 2024 provide structural advantages, reinforced by Van Drew’s unopposed primary status and substantial cash-on-hand lead. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Tim Alexander, Zack Mullock, Terri Reese, and Bayly Winder, face an early June 2 contest that will determine the general-election nominee. Recent polling and fundraising reports show limited momentum for challengers against an entrenched incumbent in a district with modest Republican registration edges. Upcoming primary results and any national midterm dynamics could influence final positioning before the November vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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