The Democratic nominee Brad Lander’s decisive June 2026 primary victory over two-term incumbent Dan Goldman, combined with NY-10’s consistent large Democratic margins in prior cycles, underpins the 98% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. The district covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn remains a solid Democratic seat per nonpartisan ratings, with the Republican nominee Jennifer Moore facing structural headwinds in a low-turnout general election environment. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the gap before November 3, 2026, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$52,688 交易量
$52,688 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
98%
共和党
1%
$52,688 交易量
$52,688 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$16,728 交易量
98%
共和党
$35,960 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Brad Lander’s decisive June 2026 primary victory over two-term incumbent Dan Goldman, combined with NY-10’s consistent large Democratic margins in prior cycles, underpins the 98% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. The district covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn remains a solid Democratic seat per nonpartisan ratings, with the Republican nominee Jennifer Moore facing structural headwinds in a low-turnout general election environment. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the gap before November 3, 2026, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$52,688结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Brad Lander’s decisive June 2026 primary victory over two-term incumbent Dan Goldman, combined with NY-10’s consistent large Democratic margins in prior cycles, underpins the 98% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. The district covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn remains a solid Democratic seat per nonpartisan ratings, with the Republican nominee Jennifer Moore facing structural headwinds in a low-turnout general election environment. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the gap before November 3, 2026, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$52,688结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee Brad Lander’s decisive June 2026 primary victory over two-term incumbent Dan Goldman, combined with NY-10’s consistent large Democratic margins in prior cycles, underpins the 98% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. The district covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn remains a solid Democratic seat per nonpartisan ratings, with the Republican nominee Jennifer Moore facing structural headwinds in a low-turnout general election environment. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the gap before November 3, 2026, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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