Keiko Fujimori secured the largest share in Peru’s April 12 first-round presidential vote, finishing with 17.18 percent against 12.03 percent for Roberto Sánchez and 11.90 percent for Rafael López Aliaga according to final tallies released May 16. A fragmented field of more than thirty candidates, combined with her party’s congressional influence and consistent support in Lima and coastal regions, produced the decisive gap. Official proclamation by the National Jury of Elections is scheduled for May 17, after which the June 7 runoff between Fujimori and Sánchez will proceed. Late administrative revisions or successful legal challenges to specific tallies remain the only realistic avenues that could narrow the recorded margin below five points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于基科·藤森 领先5%+ 99.6%
其他 <1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 15%+ <1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 10-15% <1%
$521,773 交易量
$521,773 交易量
2026-04-12
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 15%+
<1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 10-15%
<1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 5-10%
<1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 <5%
<1%
阿方索·洛佩斯·乔 5%+
<1%
阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌 <5%
<1%
基科·藤森 领先5%+
100%
基科·藤森 <5%
<1%
豪尔赫·涅托
<1%
罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺
<1%
沃尔夫冈·格罗佐
<1%
卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯
<1%
其他
1%
基科·藤森 领先5%+ 99.6%
其他 <1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 15%+ <1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 10-15% <1%
$521,773 交易量
$521,773 交易量
2026-04-12
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 15%+
$10,673 交易量
<1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 10-15%
$12,077 交易量
<1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 5-10%
$8,344 交易量
<1%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 <5%
$20,070 交易量
<1%
阿方索·洛佩斯·乔 5%+
$7,219 交易量
<1%
阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌 <5%
$6,302 交易量
<1%
基科·藤森 领先5%+
$162,138 交易量
100%
基科·藤森 <5%
$209,115 交易量
<1%
豪尔赫·涅托
$16,948 交易量
<1%
罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺
$20,796 交易量
<1%
沃尔夫冈·格罗佐
$4,675 交易量
<1%
卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯
$6,118 交易量
<1%
其他
$37,298 交易量
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori secured the largest share in Peru’s April 12 first-round presidential vote, finishing with 17.18 percent against 12.03 percent for Roberto Sánchez and 11.90 percent for Rafael López Aliaga according to final tallies released May 16. A fragmented field of more than thirty candidates, combined with her party’s congressional influence and consistent support in Lima and coastal regions, produced the decisive gap. Official proclamation by the National Jury of Elections is scheduled for May 17, after which the June 7 runoff between Fujimori and Sánchez will proceed. Late administrative revisions or successful legal challenges to specific tallies remain the only realistic avenues that could narrow the recorded margin below five points.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
交易量
$521,773结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori secured the largest share in Peru’s April 12 first-round presidential vote, finishing with 17.18 percent against 12.03 percent for Roberto Sánchez and 11.90 percent for Rafael López Aliaga according to final tallies released May 16. A fragmented field of more than thirty candidates, combined with her party’s congressional influence and consistent support in Lima and coastal regions, produced the decisive gap. Official proclamation by the National Jury of Elections is scheduled for May 17, after which the June 7 runoff between Fujimori and Sánchez will proceed. Late administrative revisions or successful legal challenges to specific tallies remain the only realistic avenues that could narrow the recorded margin below five points.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$521,773结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori secured the largest share in Peru’s April 12 first-round presidential vote, finishing with 17.18 percent against 12.03 percent for Roberto Sánchez and 11.90 percent for Rafael López Aliaga according to final tallies released May 16. A fragmented field of more than thirty candidates, combined with her party’s congressional influence and consistent support in Lima and coastal regions, produced the decisive gap. Official proclamation by the National Jury of Elections is scheduled for May 17, after which the June 7 runoff between Fujimori and Sánchez will proceed. Late administrative revisions or successful legal challenges to specific tallies remain the only realistic avenues that could narrow the recorded margin below five points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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