Ongoing diplomatic efforts to end hostilities between the United States and Iran center on a proposed one-page memorandum that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and establish a 30-day window for broader talks on nuclear restrictions. Significant gaps persist, however, over the duration of any uranium enrichment moratorium—with U.S. demands for a 20-year suspension clashing against Iranian proposals for five years—alongside requirements for handing over enriched uranium stockpiles, closing underground facilities, and accepting snap inspections. President Trump has identified preventing a nuclear weapon as the overriding priority, while Iranian officials continue reviewing the framework without committing to core terms. These unresolved technical and verification issues, combined with the June 30 deadline, underpin trader expectations that a comprehensive agreement remains unlikely in the near term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$1,866,105 交易量
$1,866,105 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$1,866,105 交易量
$1,866,105 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing diplomatic efforts to end hostilities between the United States and Iran center on a proposed one-page memorandum that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and establish a 30-day window for broader talks on nuclear restrictions. Significant gaps persist, however, over the duration of any uranium enrichment moratorium—with U.S. demands for a 20-year suspension clashing against Iranian proposals for five years—alongside requirements for handing over enriched uranium stockpiles, closing underground facilities, and accepting snap inspections. President Trump has identified preventing a nuclear weapon as the overriding priority, while Iranian officials continue reviewing the framework without committing to core terms. These unresolved technical and verification issues, combined with the June 30 deadline, underpin trader expectations that a comprehensive agreement remains unlikely in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$1,866,105结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing diplomatic efforts to end hostilities between the United States and Iran center on a proposed one-page memorandum that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and establish a 30-day window for broader talks on nuclear restrictions. Significant gaps persist, however, over the duration of any uranium enrichment moratorium—with U.S. demands for a 20-year suspension clashing against Iranian proposals for five years—alongside requirements for handing over enriched uranium stockpiles, closing underground facilities, and accepting snap inspections. President Trump has identified preventing a nuclear weapon as the overriding priority, while Iranian officials continue reviewing the framework without committing to core terms. These unresolved technical and verification issues, combined with the June 30 deadline, underpin trader expectations that a comprehensive agreement remains unlikely in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$1,867,767结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic efforts to end hostilities between the United States and Iran center on a proposed one-page memorandum that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and establish a 30-day window for broader talks on nuclear restrictions. Significant gaps persist, however, over the duration of any uranium enrichment moratorium—with U.S. demands for a 20-year suspension clashing against Iranian proposals for five years—alongside requirements for handing over enriched uranium stockpiles, closing underground facilities, and accepting snap inspections. President Trump has identified preventing a nuclear weapon as the overriding priority, while Iranian officials continue reviewing the framework without committing to core terms. These unresolved technical and verification issues, combined with the June 30 deadline, underpin trader expectations that a comprehensive agreement remains unlikely in the near term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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