Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating and similar assessments from other forecasters, which underpins the 94.5% Republican consensus in this market. Incumbent Mike Kennedy advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after court-ordered redistricting adjusted boundaries that still favor the party by wide margins, including a 32-point Trump margin in the prior presidential vote. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen faces structural challenges in a district with limited recent competitiveness for the party. Traders price in these fundamentals ahead of the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited room for such reversals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$41,070 交易量
$41,070 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$41,070 交易量
$41,070 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$15,673 交易量
95%
民主党
$25,397 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating and similar assessments from other forecasters, which underpins the 94.5% Republican consensus in this market. Incumbent Mike Kennedy advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after court-ordered redistricting adjusted boundaries that still favor the party by wide margins, including a 32-point Trump margin in the prior presidential vote. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen faces structural challenges in a district with limited recent competitiveness for the party. Traders price in these fundamentals ahead of the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited room for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$41,070结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating and similar assessments from other forecasters, which underpins the 94.5% Republican consensus in this market. Incumbent Mike Kennedy advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after court-ordered redistricting adjusted boundaries that still favor the party by wide margins, including a 32-point Trump margin in the prior presidential vote. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen faces structural challenges in a district with limited recent competitiveness for the party. Traders price in these fundamentals ahead of the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited room for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,070结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating and similar assessments from other forecasters, which underpins the 94.5% Republican consensus in this market. Incumbent Mike Kennedy advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after court-ordered redistricting adjusted boundaries that still favor the party by wide margins, including a 32-point Trump margin in the prior presidential vote. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen faces structural challenges in a district with limited recent competitiveness for the party. Traders price in these fundamentals ahead of the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited room for such reversals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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