Incumbent Republican Mike Kennedy secured the GOP nomination for Utah's 4th Congressional District on April 25, 2026, via a dominant 78.7% convention win, with the primary canceled, solidifying trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Republican tilt—evidenced by 63.4% GOP support in 2024, 61.1% in 2022, and Trump's 64.8% presidential share—combined with Kennedy's $370,000 cash-on-hand advantage over Democrat Jonny Larsen's $3,000, drives this commanding position amid ratings of Solid Republican from forecasters. Challengers like Libertarian Taylor Wright and Independent Steven Burt pose minimal threat, though a major scandal, national Democratic midterm wave, or unforeseen turnout surge could narrow the race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,346 交易量
$13,346 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
$13,346 交易量
$13,346 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,545 交易量
92%
民主党
$8,801 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Kennedy secured the GOP nomination for Utah's 4th Congressional District on April 25, 2026, via a dominant 78.7% convention win, with the primary canceled, solidifying trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Republican tilt—evidenced by 63.4% GOP support in 2024, 61.1% in 2022, and Trump's 64.8% presidential share—combined with Kennedy's $370,000 cash-on-hand advantage over Democrat Jonny Larsen's $3,000, drives this commanding position amid ratings of Solid Republican from forecasters. Challengers like Libertarian Taylor Wright and Independent Steven Burt pose minimal threat, though a major scandal, national Democratic midterm wave, or unforeseen turnout surge could narrow the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$13,346结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Kennedy secured the GOP nomination for Utah's 4th Congressional District on April 25, 2026, via a dominant 78.7% convention win, with the primary canceled, solidifying trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Republican tilt—evidenced by 63.4% GOP support in 2024, 61.1% in 2022, and Trump's 64.8% presidential share—combined with Kennedy's $370,000 cash-on-hand advantage over Democrat Jonny Larsen's $3,000, drives this commanding position amid ratings of Solid Republican from forecasters. Challengers like Libertarian Taylor Wright and Independent Steven Burt pose minimal threat, though a major scandal, national Democratic midterm wave, or unforeseen turnout surge could narrow the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,346结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Kennedy secured the GOP nomination for Utah's 4th Congressional District on April 25, 2026, via a dominant 78.7% convention win, with the primary canceled, solidifying trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Republican tilt—evidenced by 63.4% GOP support in 2024, 61.1% in 2022, and Trump's 64.8% presidential share—combined with Kennedy's $370,000 cash-on-hand advantage over Democrat Jonny Larsen's $3,000, drives this commanding position amid ratings of Solid Republican from forecasters. Challengers like Libertarian Taylor Wright and Independent Steven Burt pose minimal threat, though a major scandal, national Democratic midterm wave, or unforeseen turnout surge could narrow the race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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