Recent polling has elevated center-left candidate Andrea Martella to frontrunner status ahead of Venice's municipal election on May 24-25, with a possible runoff on June 7-8. Surveys such as the May Tecnè poll show him at 49 percent to center-right rival Simone Venturini's 41 percent in the first round, with high undecided voters expected to consolidate behind the leading contender. Martella's established record in national and local Democratic Party roles, combined with proposals on tourism regulation, commerce incentives, and neighborhood safety, has driven trader consensus toward an 84.5 percent implied probability for his victory. Venturini, backed by the center-right coalition and positioned as the successor to the outgoing administration, maintains a narrower path through first-round strength and runoff mobilization. Minor candidates including economist Michele Boldrin remain marginal given limited polling support.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Andrea Martella 83%
Simone Venturini 16%
Michele Boldrin <1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$120,737 交易量
$120,737 交易量
Andrea Martella
83%
Simone Venturini
16%
Michele Boldrin
<1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Andrea Martella 83%
Simone Venturini 16%
Michele Boldrin <1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$120,737 交易量
$120,737 交易量
Andrea Martella
83%
Simone Venturini
16%
Michele Boldrin
<1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
市场开放时间： Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling has elevated center-left candidate Andrea Martella to frontrunner status ahead of Venice's municipal election on May 24-25, with a possible runoff on June 7-8. Surveys such as the May Tecnè poll show him at 49 percent to center-right rival Simone Venturini's 41 percent in the first round, with high undecided voters expected to consolidate behind the leading contender. Martella's established record in national and local Democratic Party roles, combined with proposals on tourism regulation, commerce incentives, and neighborhood safety, has driven trader consensus toward an 84.5 percent implied probability for his victory. Venturini, backed by the center-right coalition and positioned as the successor to the outgoing administration, maintains a narrower path through first-round strength and runoff mobilization. Minor candidates including economist Michele Boldrin remain marginal given limited polling support.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题