SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and reports targeting a June 2026 IPO at $1.75–2 trillion-plus have driven the 59% market-implied odds for the $1.75–2.00 trillion bin, reflecting strong trader consensus around the company’s fundraising ambitions of up to $75 billion. This pricing incorporates Starlink’s accelerating revenue trajectory and cash-flow contribution alongside synergies from the xAI merger, which together support elevated multiples near 90–100 times estimated 2025 revenue. Analyst ranges from $1.1–1.7 trillion provide a floor, while Starship progress and upcoming roadshow milestones represent the primary swing factors that could shift probabilities toward the 17% odds on the $2.00–2.25 trillion outcome before listing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.75-2.00万亿 61%
2.25-2.50万亿 7.7%
2.50万亿美元以上 5.5%
1.50-1.75万亿 5.0%
$133,671 交易量
$133,671 交易量
低于1.25万亿美元
1%
1.25-1.50万亿
4%
1.50-1.75万亿
21%
1.75-2.00万亿
59%
2.00-2.25万亿
24%
2.25-2.50万亿
8%
2.50万亿美元以上
5%
1.75-2.00万亿 61%
2.25-2.50万亿 7.7%
2.50万亿美元以上 5.5%
1.50-1.75万亿 5.0%
$133,671 交易量
$133,671 交易量
低于1.25万亿美元
$60,323 交易量
1%
1.25-1.50万亿
$16,039 交易量
4%
1.50-1.75万亿
$9,240 交易量
21%
1.75-2.00万亿
$12,949 交易量
59%
2.00-2.25万亿
$14,286 交易量
24%
2.25-2.50万亿
$10,055 交易量
8%
2.50万亿美元以上
$10,779 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and reports targeting a June 2026 IPO at $1.75–2 trillion-plus have driven the 59% market-implied odds for the $1.75–2.00 trillion bin, reflecting strong trader consensus around the company’s fundraising ambitions of up to $75 billion. This pricing incorporates Starlink’s accelerating revenue trajectory and cash-flow contribution alongside synergies from the xAI merger, which together support elevated multiples near 90–100 times estimated 2025 revenue. Analyst ranges from $1.1–1.7 trillion provide a floor, while Starship progress and upcoming roadshow milestones represent the primary swing factors that could shift probabilities toward the 17% odds on the $2.00–2.25 trillion outcome before listing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$133,671市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and reports targeting a June 2026 IPO at $1.75–2 trillion-plus have driven the 59% market-implied odds for the $1.75–2.00 trillion bin, reflecting strong trader consensus around the company’s fundraising ambitions of up to $75 billion. This pricing incorporates Starlink’s accelerating revenue trajectory and cash-flow contribution alongside synergies from the xAI merger, which together support elevated multiples near 90–100 times estimated 2025 revenue. Analyst ranges from $1.1–1.7 trillion provide a floor, while Starship progress and upcoming roadshow milestones represent the primary swing factors that could shift probabilities toward the 17% odds on the $2.00–2.25 trillion outcome before listing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$133,671市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and reports targeting a June 2026 IPO at $1.75–2 trillion-plus have driven the 59% market-implied odds for the $1.75–2.00 trillion bin, reflecting strong trader consensus around the company’s fundraising ambitions of up to $75 billion. This pricing incorporates Starlink’s accelerating revenue trajectory and cash-flow contribution alongside synergies from the xAI merger, which together support elevated multiples near 90–100 times estimated 2025 revenue. Analyst ranges from $1.1–1.7 trillion provide a floor, while Starship progress and upcoming roadshow milestones represent the primary swing factors that could shift probabilities toward the 17% odds on the $2.00–2.25 trillion outcome before listing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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