SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a targeted June 12 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX and plans to raise roughly $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, serves as the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment. Recent Reuters reporting on the expedited SEC review and roadshow commencing June 4 has reinforced market-implied odds favoring the 1.75-2.00T range at 56.5%, reflecting consensus that Starlink revenue growth, Starship progress, and the xAI merger integration support this pricing level. This represents a notable step up from prior private-market valuations near $800 billion, as institutional investors weigh the company’s forward revenue multiples against execution risks in a high-growth aerospace and satellite sector. With the offering now weeks away, these probabilities embed expectations for final pricing negotiations and any last-minute adjustments to the capital raise.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.75-2.00万亿 37%
2.00-2.25万亿 12%
2.25-2.50万亿 7.7%
2.50万亿美元以上 6.3%
$135,717 交易量
$135,717 交易量
低于1.25万亿美元
2%
1.25-1.50万亿
4%
1.50-1.75万亿
21%
1.75-2.00万亿
37%
2.00-2.25万亿
28%
2.25-2.50万亿
8%
2.50万亿美元以上
6%
1.75-2.00万亿 37%
2.00-2.25万亿 12%
2.25-2.50万亿 7.7%
2.50万亿美元以上 6.3%
$135,717 交易量
$135,717 交易量
低于1.25万亿美元
$60,444 交易量
2%
1.25-1.50万亿
$16,039 交易量
4%
1.50-1.75万亿
$9,240 交易量
21%
1.75-2.00万亿
$14,843 交易量
37%
2.00-2.25万亿
$14,316 交易量
28%
2.25-2.50万亿
$10,055 交易量
8%
2.50万亿美元以上
$10,779 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a targeted June 12 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX and plans to raise roughly $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, serves as the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment. Recent Reuters reporting on the expedited SEC review and roadshow commencing June 4 has reinforced market-implied odds favoring the 1.75-2.00T range at 56.5%, reflecting consensus that Starlink revenue growth, Starship progress, and the xAI merger integration support this pricing level. This represents a notable step up from prior private-market valuations near $800 billion, as institutional investors weigh the company’s forward revenue multiples against execution risks in a high-growth aerospace and satellite sector. With the offering now weeks away, these probabilities embed expectations for final pricing negotiations and any last-minute adjustments to the capital raise.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$135,717市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a targeted June 12 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX and plans to raise roughly $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, serves as the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment. Recent Reuters reporting on the expedited SEC review and roadshow commencing June 4 has reinforced market-implied odds favoring the 1.75-2.00T range at 56.5%, reflecting consensus that Starlink revenue growth, Starship progress, and the xAI merger integration support this pricing level. This represents a notable step up from prior private-market valuations near $800 billion, as institutional investors weigh the company’s forward revenue multiples against execution risks in a high-growth aerospace and satellite sector. With the offering now weeks away, these probabilities embed expectations for final pricing negotiations and any last-minute adjustments to the capital raise.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$135,717市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a targeted June 12 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX and plans to raise roughly $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, serves as the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment. Recent Reuters reporting on the expedited SEC review and roadshow commencing June 4 has reinforced market-implied odds favoring the 1.75-2.00T range at 56.5%, reflecting consensus that Starlink revenue growth, Starship progress, and the xAI merger integration support this pricing level. This represents a notable step up from prior private-market valuations near $800 billion, as institutional investors weigh the company’s forward revenue multiples against execution risks in a high-growth aerospace and satellite sector. With the offering now weeks away, these probabilities embed expectations for final pricing negotiations and any last-minute adjustments to the capital raise.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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