Recent Chicago housing data, including Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326,000 as of late May 2026 with 3.5% year-over-year gains, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $339k–$342k range at 26.5%. Persistent low inventory, 4–6% annual price growth across Redfin and Realtor.com reports, and elevated mortgage rates near 6% have tempered acceleration, leaving the outcome contested between modest June gains and potential seasonal softening. Key swing factors include any final pre-resolution sales figures or index updates that could shift the median by a few thousand dollars, with traders weighting the narrow band heavily due to the resolution date’s proximity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于339,000美元 - 342,000美元 75%
<$339k 20%
34.2万 - 34.5万美元 10%
$345,000 - $348,000 10%
<$339k
21%
339,000美元 - 342,000美元
75%
34.2万 - 34.5万美元
10%
$345,000 - $348,000
10%
$348k - $351k
3%
$351k - $354k
<1%
>354,000美元
4%
339,000美元 - 342,000美元 75%
<$339k 20%
34.2万 - 34.5万美元 10%
$345,000 - $348,000 10%
<$339k
21%
339,000美元 - 342,000美元
75%
34.2万 - 34.5万美元
10%
$345,000 - $348,000
10%
$348k - $351k
3%
$351k - $354k
<1%
>354,000美元
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
市场开放时间: Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Chicago housing data, including Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326,000 as of late May 2026 with 3.5% year-over-year gains, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $339k–$342k range at 26.5%. Persistent low inventory, 4–6% annual price growth across Redfin and Realtor.com reports, and elevated mortgage rates near 6% have tempered acceleration, leaving the outcome contested between modest June gains and potential seasonal softening. Key swing factors include any final pre-resolution sales figures or index updates that could shift the median by a few thousand dollars, with traders weighting the narrow band heavily due to the resolution date’s proximity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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