As of mid-2026, 157 of 193 UN member states recognize the State of Palestine, following a surge of diplomatic recognitions in September 2025 at the UN General Assembly by France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, Portugal, and others—building on 2024 moves by Spain, Ireland, Norway, and Slovenia amid Israel's war in Gaza. Major holdouts like the United States, Germany, Italy, Japan, South Korea, and the Netherlands condition recognition on progress in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations toward a two-state solution, citing security concerns and historical alliances. No new recognitions have occurred in 2026, with trader consensus reflecting entrenched domestic politics and stalled peace talks; key watchpoints include US midterms in November 2026, European parliamentary shifts, and potential UN resolutions or summits before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$624,976 交易量

美国
6%

意大利
15%

荷兰
22%

日本
18%

德国
6%

比利时
21%

芬兰
12%

奥地利
1%

希腊
10%

新西兰
20%
$624,976 交易量

美国
6%

意大利
15%

荷兰
22%

日本
18%

德国
6%

比利时
21%

芬兰
12%

奥地利
1%

希腊
10%

新西兰
20%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-2026, 157 of 193 UN member states recognize the State of Palestine, following a surge of diplomatic recognitions in September 2025 at the UN General Assembly by France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, Portugal, and others—building on 2024 moves by Spain, Ireland, Norway, and Slovenia amid Israel's war in Gaza. Major holdouts like the United States, Germany, Italy, Japan, South Korea, and the Netherlands condition recognition on progress in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations toward a two-state solution, citing security concerns and historical alliances. No new recognitions have occurred in 2026, with trader consensus reflecting entrenched domestic politics and stalled peace talks; key watchpoints include US midterms in November 2026, European parliamentary shifts, and potential UN resolutions or summits before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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