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政治·中东

哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？

icon for 哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？
政治·中东

哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？

12月 31

12月 31

$567,264 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$567,264 交易量

Polymarket

索马里兰

$61,801 交易量

19%

黎巴嫩

$58,017 交易量

14%

阿塞拜疆

$43,147 交易量

14%

阿曼

$145,328 交易量

13%

科威特

$22,614 交易量

13%

沙特阿拉伯

$89,001 交易量

12%

叙利亚

$147,356 交易量

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords centers on Central Asian and Horn of Africa candidates following Kazakhstan’s formal accession in November 2025 and Israel’s December 2025 recognition of Somaliland, which immediately signaled its intent to normalize. Saudi Arabia continues back-channel technical talks but ties any full normalization to verifiable progress on a Gaza ceasefire and Palestinian statehood pathway, a condition repeatedly emphasized by Riyadh’s leadership amid domestic polling showing strong public opposition. Ongoing regional security concerns tied to Iran have prompted quiet defense coordination discussions involving Oman, Qatar, and Kuwait, yet none have advanced to formal accords commitments. Upcoming U.S.-Saudi summits and phased Gaza negotiations before the December 2026 resolution window remain the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift normalization timelines for multiple states.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$567,264
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords centers on Central Asian and Horn of Africa candidates following Kazakhstan’s formal accession in November 2025 and Israel’s December 2025 recognition of Somaliland, which immediately signaled its intent to normalize. Saudi Arabia continues back-channel technical talks but ties any full normalization to verifiable progress on a Gaza ceasefire and Palestinian statehood pathway, a condition repeatedly emphasized by Riyadh’s leadership amid domestic polling showing strong public opposition. Ongoing regional security concerns tied to Iran have prompted quiet defense coordination discussions involving Oman, Qatar, and Kuwait, yet none have advanced to formal accords commitments. Upcoming U.S.-Saudi summits and phased Gaza negotiations before the December 2026 resolution window remain the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift normalization timelines for multiple states.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$567,264
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"索马里兰"，概率为 19%，其次是"黎巴嫩"，概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 19¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 19%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？"已产生 $567.3K 的总交易量（自Nov 5, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？"的当前领先者是"索马里兰"，概率为 19%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 19%。紧随其后的结果是"黎巴嫩"，概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。