The DFL endorsing convention in early May delivered a decisive boost to former state Sen. Matt Little, who secured 63 percent of delegate support on the first ballot for Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District nomination. This outcome has shaped trader consensus around Little’s 70 percent implied probability ahead of the August 11 primary. State Sen. Matt Klein and state Rep. Kaela Berg, who finished well behind, have both pledged to remain in the race despite withdrawing from the endorsement process. Their continued campaigns, focused on healthcare costs and economic issues in the suburban Twin Cities district, sustain the competitive dynamics reflected in the lower shares for Klein and Berg. The open seat following Rep. Angie Craig’s Senate bid adds further uncertainty to the August contest.