Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff voters will decide between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26, with early voting underway from May 18–22, anchoring trader consensus at 97.1% against Paxton dropping out. Recent scorched-earth attack ads and fundraising tallies reflect Paxton's sustained campaign momentum, building on his March primary survival despite over $60 million in establishment opposition spending. Absent withdrawal signals or fulfillment of his prior conditional exit tied to SAVE Act passage, and with President Trump's endorsement still pending post-deadline, markets dismiss near-term exit risks. Realistic disruptors remain a strong Trump backing for Cornyn, fresh legal challenges from Paxton's ongoing AG tenure, or unforeseen health events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-05-25
最新
最新
2026-05-25
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff voters will decide between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26, with early voting underway from May 18–22, anchoring trader consensus at 97.1% against Paxton dropping out. Recent scorched-earth attack ads and fundraising tallies reflect Paxton's sustained campaign momentum, building on his March primary survival despite over $60 million in establishment opposition spending. Absent withdrawal signals or fulfillment of his prior conditional exit tied to SAVE Act passage, and with President Trump's endorsement still pending post-deadline, markets dismiss near-term exit risks. Realistic disruptors remain a strong Trump backing for Cornyn, fresh legal challenges from Paxton's ongoing AG tenure, or unforeseen health events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
交易量
$5,869结束日期
2026-05-25市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff voters will decide between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26, with early voting underway from May 18–22, anchoring trader consensus at 97.1% against Paxton dropping out. Recent scorched-earth attack ads and fundraising tallies reflect Paxton's sustained campaign momentum, building on his March primary survival despite over $60 million in establishment opposition spending. Absent withdrawal signals or fulfillment of his prior conditional exit tied to SAVE Act passage, and with President Trump's endorsement still pending post-deadline, markets dismiss near-term exit risks. Realistic disruptors remain a strong Trump backing for Cornyn, fresh legal challenges from Paxton's ongoing AG tenure, or unforeseen health events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,869结束日期
2026-05-25市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff voters will decide between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26, with early voting underway from May 18–22, anchoring trader consensus at 97.1% against Paxton dropping out. Recent scorched-earth attack ads and fundraising tallies reflect Paxton's sustained campaign momentum, building on his March primary survival despite over $60 million in establishment opposition spending. Absent withdrawal signals or fulfillment of his prior conditional exit tied to SAVE Act passage, and with President Trump's endorsement still pending post-deadline, markets dismiss near-term exit risks. Realistic disruptors remain a strong Trump backing for Cornyn, fresh legal challenges from Paxton's ongoing AG tenure, or unforeseen health events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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