Lula da Silva's position as the Workers' Party's clear frontrunner for Brazil's October 2026 presidential election underpins the 86% trader consensus on his nomination by the August 15 deadline. At its late-April national congress, the PT adopted a manifesto explicitly centered on his re-election bid and committed to forging broad alliances, including with centrist groups, while ceding some state races to strengthen his ticket. Lula has confirmed his intent to run for a fourth term and selected Geraldo Alckmin as running mate, with party president Edinho Silva publicly prioritizing the candidacy. Party conventions scheduled for July 20 to August 5 are expected to formalize the choice amid polling that shows Lula competitive with rivals like Flávio Bolsonaro. No viable internal alternative has emerged, making the outcome a procedural step barring unforeseen shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$11,224 交易量
$11,224 交易量
2026-08-15
是
$11,224 交易量
$11,224 交易量
2026-08-15
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lula da Silva's position as the Workers' Party's clear frontrunner for Brazil's October 2026 presidential election underpins the 86% trader consensus on his nomination by the August 15 deadline. At its late-April national congress, the PT adopted a manifesto explicitly centered on his re-election bid and committed to forging broad alliances, including with centrist groups, while ceding some state races to strengthen his ticket. Lula has confirmed his intent to run for a fourth term and selected Geraldo Alckmin as running mate, with party president Edinho Silva publicly prioritizing the candidacy. Party conventions scheduled for July 20 to August 5 are expected to formalize the choice amid polling that shows Lula competitive with rivals like Flávio Bolsonaro. No viable internal alternative has emerged, making the outcome a procedural step barring unforeseen shifts.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$11,224结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lula da Silva's position as the Workers' Party's clear frontrunner for Brazil's October 2026 presidential election underpins the 86% trader consensus on his nomination by the August 15 deadline. At its late-April national congress, the PT adopted a manifesto explicitly centered on his re-election bid and committed to forging broad alliances, including with centrist groups, while ceding some state races to strengthen his ticket. Lula has confirmed his intent to run for a fourth term and selected Geraldo Alckmin as running mate, with party president Edinho Silva publicly prioritizing the candidacy. Party conventions scheduled for July 20 to August 5 are expected to formalize the choice amid polling that shows Lula competitive with rivals like Flávio Bolsonaro. No viable internal alternative has emerged, making the outcome a procedural step barring unforeseen shifts.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,224结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Lula da Silva's position as the Workers' Party's clear frontrunner for Brazil's October 2026 presidential election underpins the 86% trader consensus on his nomination by the August 15 deadline. At its late-April national congress, the PT adopted a manifesto explicitly centered on his re-election bid and committed to forging broad alliances, including with centrist groups, while ceding some state races to strengthen his ticket. Lula has confirmed his intent to run for a fourth term and selected Geraldo Alckmin as running mate, with party president Edinho Silva publicly prioritizing the candidacy. Party conventions scheduled for July 20 to August 5 are expected to formalize the choice amid polling that shows Lula competitive with rivals like Flávio Bolsonaro. No viable internal alternative has emerged, making the outcome a procedural step barring unforeseen shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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