Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 75.5% probability that the CDC will issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips due to high outbreak risk—for any disease by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the early May 2026 hantavirus outbreak linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship. CDC activated its Emergency Operations Center at Level 3 (lowest activation tier, signaling increased readiness) after WHO confirmed Andes virus in cases spanning multiple countries, including two deaths among 17 U.S. passengers; limited person-to-person transmission is possible but public risk remains low per official surveillance. Persistent Level 2 notices for global poliovirus circulation (32+ countries), clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia, and chikungunya/yellow fever hotspots provide baseline escalation potential, with weekly FluView reports and outbreak updates poised to influence trajectories amid seasonal disease patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
$117,078 Vol.
$117,078 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$117,078 Vol.
$117,078 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 75.5% probability that the CDC will issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips due to high outbreak risk—for any disease by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the early May 2026 hantavirus outbreak linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship. CDC activated its Emergency Operations Center at Level 3 (lowest activation tier, signaling increased readiness) after WHO confirmed Andes virus in cases spanning multiple countries, including two deaths among 17 U.S. passengers; limited person-to-person transmission is possible but public risk remains low per official surveillance. Persistent Level 2 notices for global poliovirus circulation (32+ countries), clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia, and chikungunya/yellow fever hotspots provide baseline escalation potential, with weekly FluView reports and outbreak updates poised to influence trajectories amid seasonal disease patterns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
ভলিউম
$117,078শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 75.5% probability that the CDC will issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips due to high outbreak risk—for any disease by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the early May 2026 hantavirus outbreak linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship. CDC activated its Emergency Operations Center at Level 3 (lowest activation tier, signaling increased readiness) after WHO confirmed Andes virus in cases spanning multiple countries, including two deaths among 17 U.S. passengers; limited person-to-person transmission is possible but public risk remains low per official surveillance. Persistent Level 2 notices for global poliovirus circulation (32+ countries), clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia, and chikungunya/yellow fever hotspots provide baseline escalation potential, with weekly FluView reports and outbreak updates poised to influence trajectories amid seasonal disease patterns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$117,078শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 75.5% probability that the CDC will issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips due to high outbreak risk—for any disease by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the early May 2026 hantavirus outbreak linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship. CDC activated its Emergency Operations Center at Level 3 (lowest activation tier, signaling increased readiness) after WHO confirmed Andes virus in cases spanning multiple countries, including two deaths among 17 U.S. passengers; limited person-to-person transmission is possible but public risk remains low per official surveillance. Persistent Level 2 notices for global poliovirus circulation (32+ countries), clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia, and chikungunya/yellow fever hotspots provide baseline escalation potential, with weekly FluView reports and outbreak updates poised to influence trajectories amid seasonal disease patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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