Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Shanghai today, driven by converged outputs from short-range weather models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside real-time observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau's Xujiahui station registering a midday peak of 26°C under partly cloudy conditions. Moderate southerly winds and elevated humidity have capped solar heating, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing 1–2°C of additional warming before sunset, but ensemble forecasts and current downward temperature trajectory render higher outcomes negligible, with official daily maximum confirmation pending evening reports.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 13?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 13?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$391,434 Vol.
$391,434 Vol.
May 13, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$391,434 Vol.
$391,434 Vol.
May 13, 2026
21°C or below
$7,689 Vol.
No
22°C
$9,853 Vol.
No
23°C
$46,552 Vol.
No
24°C
$48,912 Vol.
No
25°C
$44,704 Vol.
No
26°C
$47,324 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$52,323 Vol.
No
28°C
$39,560 Vol.
No
29°C
$32,563 Vol.
No
30°C
$27,599 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$34,354 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Shanghai today, driven by converged outputs from short-range weather models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside real-time observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau's Xujiahui station registering a midday peak of 26°C under partly cloudy conditions. Moderate southerly winds and elevated humidity have capped solar heating, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing 1–2°C of additional warming before sunset, but ensemble forecasts and current downward temperature trajectory render higher outcomes negligible, with official daily maximum confirmation pending evening reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
ভলিউম
$391,434শেষ তারিখ
May 13, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Shanghai today, driven by converged outputs from short-range weather models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside real-time observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau's Xujiahui station registering a midday peak of 26°C under partly cloudy conditions. Moderate southerly winds and elevated humidity have capped solar heating, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing 1–2°C of additional warming before sunset, but ensemble forecasts and current downward temperature trajectory render higher outcomes negligible, with official daily maximum confirmation pending evening reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$391,434শেষ তারিখ
May 13, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C in Shanghai today, driven by converged outputs from short-range weather models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside real-time observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau's Xujiahui station registering a midday peak of 26°C under partly cloudy conditions. Moderate southerly winds and elevated humidity have capped solar heating, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing 1–2°C of additional warming before sunset, but ensemble forecasts and current downward temperature trajectory render higher outcomes negligible, with official daily maximum confirmation pending evening reports.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা