Persistent heat dome and high-pressure ridging over Southeast Texas are driving National Weather Service forecasts for mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid-to-upper 90s on August 15, aligning with the market's leading 96-97°F outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Recent model consensus and climatological norms—August 15 average high near 95°F at Houston Intercontinental—limit upside risk beyond 98°F while making sub-94°F outcomes less likely absent unexpected moisture or cloud cover. Short-term guidance shows minimal precipitation chances and steady southerly flow, sustaining the warm pattern through the period.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 15. August?
96-97°F 49%
94-95°F 33%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 3%
85°F oder darunter
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90–91 °F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
33%
96-97°F
49%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F oder höher
<1%
96-97°F 49%
94-95°F 33%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 3%
85°F oder darunter
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90–91 °F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
33%
96-97°F
49%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat dome and high-pressure ridging over Southeast Texas are driving National Weather Service forecasts for mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid-to-upper 90s on August 15, aligning with the market's leading 96-97°F outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Recent model consensus and climatological norms—August 15 average high near 95°F at Houston Intercontinental—limit upside risk beyond 98°F while making sub-94°F outcomes less likely absent unexpected moisture or cloud cover. Short-term guidance shows minimal precipitation chances and steady southerly flow, sustaining the warm pattern through the period.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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