National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 16 place the daily high near or above 88°F under an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. Climatological normals for mid-May hover around 87°F at Hobby Airport, yet recent hot, dry patterns have supported readings several degrees above average. Model consensus from NOAA shows minimal risk of significant moisture advection or increased cloud cover that could suppress maxima. Only persistent low-level stratus or an unexpectedly strong sea breeze might limit peaks to the mid-80s, but current guidance assigns low odds to such moderation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Houston on May 16?
$36,748 Vol.
$36,748 Vol.
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
100%
$36,748 Vol.
$36,748 Vol.
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 16 place the daily high near or above 88°F under an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. Climatological normals for mid-May hover around 87°F at Hobby Airport, yet recent hot, dry patterns have supported readings several degrees above average. Model consensus from NOAA shows minimal risk of significant moisture advection or increased cloud cover that could suppress maxima. Only persistent low-level stratus or an unexpectedly strong sea breeze might limit peaks to the mid-80s, but current guidance assigns low odds to such moderation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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