Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on an afternoon high of 27–30°C in Jinan on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 2–3 m/s, and scattered light rain chances. This range, consistent with current surface observations near 21–25°C mid-morning and expected diurnal rise, underpins the 78% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Earlier heat and thunderstorms this week gave way to increased cloud cover and onshore flow, moderating peak temperatures below recent 34°C readings while still exceeding the 25°C threshold priced at 22%. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jinan am 29. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Jinan am 29. August?
26°C or higher 77%
25°C 24%
24°C 1.7%
16°C or below <1%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
24%
26°C or higher
77%
26°C or higher 77%
25°C 24%
24°C 1.7%
16°C or below <1%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
16°C or below
$115 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$885 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,065 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$468 Vol.
2%
25°C
$889 Vol.
24%
26°C or higher
$1,565 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on an afternoon high of 27–30°C in Jinan on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 2–3 m/s, and scattered light rain chances. This range, consistent with current surface observations near 21–25°C mid-morning and expected diurnal rise, underpins the 78% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Earlier heat and thunderstorms this week gave way to increased cloud cover and onshore flow, moderating peak temperatures below recent 34°C readings while still exceeding the 25°C threshold priced at 22%. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$5,541Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on an afternoon high of 27–30°C in Jinan on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 2–3 m/s, and scattered light rain chances. This range, consistent with current surface observations near 21–25°C mid-morning and expected diurnal rise, underpins the 78% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Earlier heat and thunderstorms this week gave way to increased cloud cover and onshore flow, moderating peak temperatures below recent 34°C readings while still exceeding the 25°C threshold priced at 22%. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,541Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on an afternoon high of 27–30°C in Jinan on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies, northeast winds of 2–3 m/s, and scattered light rain chances. This range, consistent with current surface observations near 21–25°C mid-morning and expected diurnal rise, underpins the 78% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. Earlier heat and thunderstorms this week gave way to increased cloud cover and onshore flow, moderating peak temperatures below recent 34°C readings while still exceeding the 25°C threshold priced at 22%. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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