Latest official forecasts from Spanish meteorological services and ensemble model guidance show Madrid's maximum temperature on May 16 remaining capped at 20°C under a stable high-pressure ridge with northerly flow suppressing daytime heating. Current surface observations and satellite-derived temperature profiles align with this consensus, reflecting typical mid-May climatology for the region without significant warm advection. Trader positioning at 100% for the 20°C outcome reflects this tight scientific agreement, as any deviation would require an unforecasted shift in the synoptic pattern. The only realistic challenges would involve rapid model revisions from unexpected cloud-clearing or localized heat-island effects pushing readings above the threshold before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,931 Vol.
$84,931 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,931 Vol.
$84,931 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
20°C
$10,838 Vol.
100%
21°C
$11,965 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$10,046 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,884 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,168 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,529 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest official forecasts from Spanish meteorological services and ensemble model guidance show Madrid's maximum temperature on May 16 remaining capped at 20°C under a stable high-pressure ridge with northerly flow suppressing daytime heating. Current surface observations and satellite-derived temperature profiles align with this consensus, reflecting typical mid-May climatology for the region without significant warm advection. Trader positioning at 100% for the 20°C outcome reflects this tight scientific agreement, as any deviation would require an unforecasted shift in the synoptic pattern. The only realistic challenges would involve rapid model revisions from unexpected cloud-clearing or localized heat-island effects pushing readings above the threshold before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$84,931Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest official forecasts from Spanish meteorological services and ensemble model guidance show Madrid's maximum temperature on May 16 remaining capped at 20°C under a stable high-pressure ridge with northerly flow suppressing daytime heating. Current surface observations and satellite-derived temperature profiles align with this consensus, reflecting typical mid-May climatology for the region without significant warm advection. Trader positioning at 100% for the 20°C outcome reflects this tight scientific agreement, as any deviation would require an unforecasted shift in the synoptic pattern. The only realistic challenges would involve rapid model revisions from unexpected cloud-clearing or localized heat-island effects pushing readings above the threshold before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$84,931Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Spanish meteorological services and ensemble model guidance show Madrid's maximum temperature on May 16 remaining capped at 20°C under a stable high-pressure ridge with northerly flow suppressing daytime heating. Current surface observations and satellite-derived temperature profiles align with this consensus, reflecting typical mid-May climatology for the region without significant warm advection. Trader positioning at 100% for the 20°C outcome reflects this tight scientific agreement, as any deviation would require an unforecasted shift in the synoptic pattern. The only realistic challenges would involve rapid model revisions from unexpected cloud-clearing or localized heat-island effects pushing readings above the threshold before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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