Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italy’s Servizio Meteorologico Nazionale show Milan’s daytime maximum stabilizing at 22 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly flow, producing the market-implied near-certainty for that exact threshold. This consensus rests on verified surface observations and ensemble runs that have shown minimal spread through the afternoon window. Only an unexpected late-day convective cell or localized urban heat-island spike above 23 °C could shift the recorded high, though current radar and sounding data indicate negligible potential for such development before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on May 16?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$54,181 Vol.
$54,181 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$54,181 Vol.
$54,181 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italy’s Servizio Meteorologico Nazionale show Milan’s daytime maximum stabilizing at 22 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly flow, producing the market-implied near-certainty for that exact threshold. This consensus rests on verified surface observations and ensemble runs that have shown minimal spread through the afternoon window. Only an unexpected late-day convective cell or localized urban heat-island spike above 23 °C could shift the recorded high, though current radar and sounding data indicate negligible potential for such development before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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