Recent National Weather Service model runs point to a daytime peak near 86°F in New York City on May 17 under southerly flow and mostly sunny skies, driving the strong trader preference for the 86-87°F and 88-89°F brackets. This setup reflects a warmer-than-normal late-spring pattern with limited cloud cover and light winds that favor rapid afternoon heating, though slight model spread in dew-point forecasts and urban heat-island amplification keeps the two leading outcomes closely matched. Historical May averages hover near 71°F, underscoring how this warm anomaly could push readings well above climatology. Final resolution hinges on official observations at LaGuardia Airport later today.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 17. Mai?
86-87°F 37%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 21%
90-91°F 11.4%
$31,926 Vol.
$31,926 Vol.
79°F oder darunter
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F oder höher
<1%
86-87°F 37%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 21%
90-91°F 11.4%
$31,926 Vol.
$31,926 Vol.
79°F oder darunter
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGARecent National Weather Service model runs point to a daytime peak near 86°F in New York City on May 17 under southerly flow and mostly sunny skies, driving the strong trader preference for the 86-87°F and 88-89°F brackets. This setup reflects a warmer-than-normal late-spring pattern with limited cloud cover and light winds that favor rapid afternoon heating, though slight model spread in dew-point forecasts and urban heat-island amplification keeps the two leading outcomes closely matched. Historical May averages hover near 71°F, underscoring how this warm anomaly could push readings well above climatology. Final resolution hinges on official observations at LaGuardia Airport later today.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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