Official observations from Météo-France and supporting ensemble models show that Paris reached a daily maximum temperature of 16°C on May 16 under persistent high pressure, light northerly winds, and widespread cloud cover that limited solar heating and kept afternoon values from climbing higher. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May when cool maritime air intrusions often cap highs near 15–17°C. Market-implied odds reflect the strong consensus around these verified readings, with minimal probability assigned to warmer outcomes. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from the official Paris-Montsouris station or reanalysis showing localized spikes above the reported peak, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial quality-controlled measurements are released.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 16. Mai?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$156,379 Vol.
$156,379 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$156,379 Vol.
$156,379 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official observations from Météo-France and supporting ensemble models show that Paris reached a daily maximum temperature of 16°C on May 16 under persistent high pressure, light northerly winds, and widespread cloud cover that limited solar heating and kept afternoon values from climbing higher. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May when cool maritime air intrusions often cap highs near 15–17°C. Market-implied odds reflect the strong consensus around these verified readings, with minimal probability assigned to warmer outcomes. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from the official Paris-Montsouris station or reanalysis showing localized spikes above the reported peak, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial quality-controlled measurements are released.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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