Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Paris on May 17 most likely between 15 °C and 17 °C, with clustering near 16 °C, consistent with trader positioning. A persistent blocking upper-level trough has advected cooler maritime air across northern France, suppressing afternoon warming well below the May climatological average of 19 °C at Paris-Montsouris. Model consensus shows limited diurnal recovery under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, keeping maximum temperatures in this narrow band. Météo-France observations tomorrow afternoon will resolve the market, with any unexpected clearing potentially allowing brief warming toward 17 °C while stronger cloud cover would favor 15 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 17. Mai?
16°C 46%
15°C 40%
17°C 11%
14°C 4.7%
NEU
$45,042 Vol.
NEU
$45,042 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
40%
16°C
46%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 46%
15°C 40%
17°C 11%
14°C 4.7%
NEU
$45,042 Vol.
NEU
$45,042 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,375 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,600 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$3,314 Vol.
2%
14°C
$6,777 Vol.
5%
15°C
$5,560 Vol.
40%
16°C
$5,658 Vol.
46%
17°C
$4,796 Vol.
11%
18°C
$4,505 Vol.
2%
19°C
$7,082 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$3,290 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Paris on May 17 most likely between 15 °C and 17 °C, with clustering near 16 °C, consistent with trader positioning. A persistent blocking upper-level trough has advected cooler maritime air across northern France, suppressing afternoon warming well below the May climatological average of 19 °C at Paris-Montsouris. Model consensus shows limited diurnal recovery under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, keeping maximum temperatures in this narrow band. Météo-France observations tomorrow afternoon will resolve the market, with any unexpected clearing potentially allowing brief warming toward 17 °C while stronger cloud cover would favor 15 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$45,042Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Paris on May 17 most likely between 15 °C and 17 °C, with clustering near 16 °C, consistent with trader positioning. A persistent blocking upper-level trough has advected cooler maritime air across northern France, suppressing afternoon warming well below the May climatological average of 19 °C at Paris-Montsouris. Model consensus shows limited diurnal recovery under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, keeping maximum temperatures in this narrow band. Météo-France observations tomorrow afternoon will resolve the market, with any unexpected clearing potentially allowing brief warming toward 17 °C while stronger cloud cover would favor 15 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$45,042Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Paris on May 17 most likely between 15 °C and 17 °C, with clustering near 16 °C, consistent with trader positioning. A persistent blocking upper-level trough has advected cooler maritime air across northern France, suppressing afternoon warming well below the May climatological average of 19 °C at Paris-Montsouris. Model consensus shows limited diurnal recovery under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, keeping maximum temperatures in this narrow band. Météo-France observations tomorrow afternoon will resolve the market, with any unexpected clearing potentially allowing brief warming toward 17 °C while stronger cloud cover would favor 15 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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