**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 12, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and limited radiative cooling overnight.** Multiple meteorological models and real-time observations show overnight lows stabilizing around 15–16°C, with daytime readings rising only to 18–20°C under overcast skies and moderate humidity near 75–85%. This aligns with the market's strong 74.5% implied probability on 15°C, as traders price in the consensus from official forecasts that rule out sharper drops absent a clear-sky radiative event or stronger cold advection. Lower outcomes like 14°C (46%), 13°C (42%), or 12°C or below (47.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized microclimate variations near the coast, though current data show little support for these thresholds. Historical September averages for Cape Town lows hover near 10–12°C, making today's milder conditions notable but consistent with the observed stable pressure and wind patterns. Updated model runs or official minimum readings from stations like Cape Town International will likely refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 12. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 12. September?
15°C 98%
14°C 93%
12°C oder weniger 80%
13°C 71%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
12°C oder weniger
80%
13°C
71%
14°C
93%
15°C
75%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
15°C 98%
14°C 93%
12°C oder weniger 80%
13°C 71%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
12°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
80%
13°C
$0 Vol.
71%
14°C
$80 Vol.
93%
15°C
$90 Vol.
75%
16°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
22°C oder höher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 12, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and limited radiative cooling overnight.**
Multiple meteorological models and real-time observations show overnight lows stabilizing around 15–16°C, with daytime readings rising only to 18–20°C under overcast skies and moderate humidity near 75–85%. This aligns with the market's strong 74.5% implied probability on 15°C, as traders price in the consensus from official forecasts that rule out sharper drops absent a clear-sky radiative event or stronger cold advection.
Lower outcomes like 14°C (46%), 13°C (42%), or 12°C or below (47.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized microclimate variations near the coast, though current data show little support for these thresholds. Historical September averages for Cape Town lows hover near 10–12°C, making today's milder conditions notable but consistent with the observed stable pressure and wind patterns. Updated model runs or official minimum readings from stations like Cape Town International will likely refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$775Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 12, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and limited radiative cooling overnight.**
Multiple meteorological models and real-time observations show overnight lows stabilizing around 15–16°C, with daytime readings rising only to 18–20°C under overcast skies and moderate humidity near 75–85%. This aligns with the market's strong 74.5% implied probability on 15°C, as traders price in the consensus from official forecasts that rule out sharper drops absent a clear-sky radiative event or stronger cold advection.
Lower outcomes like 14°C (46%), 13°C (42%), or 12°C or below (47.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized microclimate variations near the coast, though current data show little support for these thresholds. Historical September averages for Cape Town lows hover near 10–12°C, making today's milder conditions notable but consistent with the observed stable pressure and wind patterns. Updated model runs or official minimum readings from stations like Cape Town International will likely refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$775Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 12, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and limited radiative cooling overnight.** Multiple meteorological models and real-time observations show overnight lows stabilizing around 15–16°C, with daytime readings rising only to 18–20°C under overcast skies and moderate humidity near 75–85%. This aligns with the market's strong 74.5% implied probability on 15°C, as traders price in the consensus from official forecasts that rule out sharper drops absent a clear-sky radiative event or stronger cold advection. Lower outcomes like 14°C (46%), 13°C (42%), or 12°C or below (47.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized microclimate variations near the coast, though current data show little support for these thresholds. Historical September averages for Cape Town lows hover near 10–12°C, making today's milder conditions notable but consistent with the observed stable pressure and wind patterns. Updated model runs or official minimum readings from stations like Cape Town International will likely refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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