Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows near 20°C in Istanbul on September 12 under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21°C and the 14–18°C range. Clear conditions promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, while the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects create microclimate variability that influences official station readings. With no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to moderate temperatures, the primary uncertainty stems from slight model disagreements on the exact minimum and local wind patterns. Historical September averages for the city hover around 17–20°C for lows, providing context for why traders see meaningful probability in both the 21°C outcome and slightly cooler thresholds. Updated model runs and real-time observations from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely refine these odds before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 12. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 12. September?
14°C oder weniger 95%
16°C 95%
18°C 95%
15°C 94%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
14°C oder weniger
95%
15°C
94%
16°C
95%
17°C
94%
18°C
95%
19°C
92%
20°C
44%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
14°C oder weniger 95%
16°C 95%
18°C 95%
15°C 94%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
14°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
95%
15°C
$0 Vol.
94%
16°C
$0 Vol.
95%
17°C
$135 Vol.
94%
18°C
$135 Vol.
95%
19°C
$67 Vol.
92%
20°C
$5 Vol.
44%
21°C
$3 Vol.
50%
22°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C oder höher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows near 20°C in Istanbul on September 12 under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21°C and the 14–18°C range. Clear conditions promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, while the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects create microclimate variability that influences official station readings. With no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to moderate temperatures, the primary uncertainty stems from slight model disagreements on the exact minimum and local wind patterns. Historical September averages for the city hover around 17–20°C for lows, providing context for why traders see meaningful probability in both the 21°C outcome and slightly cooler thresholds. Updated model runs and real-time observations from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely refine these odds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$375Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows near 20°C in Istanbul on September 12 under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21°C and the 14–18°C range. Clear conditions promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, while the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects create microclimate variability that influences official station readings. With no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to moderate temperatures, the primary uncertainty stems from slight model disagreements on the exact minimum and local wind patterns. Historical September averages for the city hover around 17–20°C for lows, providing context for why traders see meaningful probability in both the 21°C outcome and slightly cooler thresholds. Updated model runs and real-time observations from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely refine these odds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$375Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows near 20°C in Istanbul on September 12 under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21°C and the 14–18°C range. Clear conditions promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, while the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects create microclimate variability that influences official station readings. With no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to moderate temperatures, the primary uncertainty stems from slight model disagreements on the exact minimum and local wind patterns. Historical September averages for the city hover around 17–20°C for lows, providing context for why traders see meaningful probability in both the 21°C outcome and slightly cooler thresholds. Updated model runs and real-time observations from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will likely refine these odds before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen