Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on June 14, 2026, converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote moderate radiative cooling without deeper drops. This consensus, backed by real-time observations at key stations like Heathrow, underpins the 99.1% market-implied probability for 13°C as the daily low. Traders treat this as the resolution threshold given the day's proximity and limited remaining uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud cover. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected wind increases or thicker low-level cloud that limit cooling, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before the market resolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 14. Juni?
13°C 98.7%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
7°C oder darunter <1%
$13,581 Vol.
$13,581 Vol.
7°C oder darunter
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C oder höher
<1%
13°C 98.7%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
7°C oder darunter <1%
$13,581 Vol.
$13,581 Vol.
7°C oder darunter
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on June 14, 2026, converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote moderate radiative cooling without deeper drops. This consensus, backed by real-time observations at key stations like Heathrow, underpins the 99.1% market-implied probability for 13°C as the daily low. Traders treat this as the resolution threshold given the day's proximity and limited remaining uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud cover. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected wind increases or thicker low-level cloud that limit cooling, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before the market resolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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