National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models place the overnight low for New York City on May 16 firmly in the 53–56 °F range, with the most likely minimum centered near 54–55 °F. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 51 °F amid moderating spring temperatures and light northwest winds. The market’s near-certain consensus on the 54–55 °F bin reflects consistent model agreement and stable atmospheric conditions, including limited moisture and no significant cold-air advection. A late-day shift in wind direction or an unforecast cloud deck could allow modest additional cooling, though such adjustments would need to exceed current guidance by several degrees to move the outcome outside the favored bin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 16. Mai?
Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 16. Mai?
54-55°F 99.8%
48-49°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$16,890 Vol.
$16,890 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
43°F oder darunter
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
100%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F oder höher
<1%
54-55°F 99.8%
48-49°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$16,890 Vol.
$16,890 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
43°F oder darunter
$552 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$661 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$408 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,223 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$392 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,747 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$2,471 Vol.
100%
56-57°F
$2,765 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,629 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,615 Vol.
<1%
62°F oder höher
$2,426 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models place the overnight low for New York City on May 16 firmly in the 53–56 °F range, with the most likely minimum centered near 54–55 °F. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 51 °F amid moderating spring temperatures and light northwest winds. The market’s near-certain consensus on the 54–55 °F bin reflects consistent model agreement and stable atmospheric conditions, including limited moisture and no significant cold-air advection. A late-day shift in wind direction or an unforecast cloud deck could allow modest additional cooling, though such adjustments would need to exceed current guidance by several degrees to move the outcome outside the favored bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$16,890Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models place the overnight low for New York City on May 16 firmly in the 53–56 °F range, with the most likely minimum centered near 54–55 °F. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 51 °F amid moderating spring temperatures and light northwest winds. The market’s near-certain consensus on the 54–55 °F bin reflects consistent model agreement and stable atmospheric conditions, including limited moisture and no significant cold-air advection. A late-day shift in wind direction or an unforecast cloud deck could allow modest additional cooling, though such adjustments would need to exceed current guidance by several degrees to move the outcome outside the favored bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,890Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGANational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models place the overnight low for New York City on May 16 firmly in the 53–56 °F range, with the most likely minimum centered near 54–55 °F. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 51 °F amid moderating spring temperatures and light northwest winds. The market’s near-certain consensus on the 54–55 °F bin reflects consistent model agreement and stable atmospheric conditions, including limited moisture and no significant cold-air advection. A late-day shift in wind direction or an unforecast cloud deck could allow modest additional cooling, though such adjustments would need to exceed current guidance by several degrees to move the outcome outside the favored bin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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