Météo-France and ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS project a nocturnal minimum of 6°C for Paris on May 16, driven by clear skies enabling moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow advecting cooler continental air. This outcome sits well below the mid-May climatological average low near 10°C, with traders assigning near-certain implied probability given tight model agreement on wind speeds below 10 km/h and dew points supporting minimal additional cooling. Real-time surface observations from Le Bourget, the resolution station, will determine final settlement. A sudden increase in cloud cover or a southerly wind shift could raise the low by 1–2°C, while unexpected clear conditions might allow a dip to 5°C if dew-point depression deepens.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 16. Mai?
6°C 100.0%
0°C oder darunter <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$15,366 Vol.
$15,366 Vol.
0°C oder darunter
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C oder höher
<1%
6°C 100.0%
0°C oder darunter <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$15,366 Vol.
$15,366 Vol.
0°C oder darunter
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Météo-France and ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS project a nocturnal minimum of 6°C for Paris on May 16, driven by clear skies enabling moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow advecting cooler continental air. This outcome sits well below the mid-May climatological average low near 10°C, with traders assigning near-certain implied probability given tight model agreement on wind speeds below 10 km/h and dew points supporting minimal additional cooling. Real-time surface observations from Le Bourget, the resolution station, will determine final settlement. A sudden increase in cloud cover or a southerly wind shift could raise the low by 1–2°C, while unexpected clear conditions might allow a dip to 5°C if dew-point depression deepens.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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