Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate a potential dip in overnight lows toward or below the 23–25°C climatological average for late August, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected around August 27. Numerical weather models show modest cooling from a weak frontal passage and higher humidity, which limits radiative cooling but favors minima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius range. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 22°C or below at 42%, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical analogs where coastal Shandong sees brief cool spells amid otherwise stable summer warmth. Upcoming official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 27. August?
22°C oder darunter 84%
23°C 45%
27°C 45%
28°C 40%
22°C oder darunter
84%
23°C
45%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
25%
27°C
45%
28°C
40%
29°C
14%
30°C
14%
31°C
14%
32°C oder höher
12%
22°C oder darunter 84%
23°C 45%
27°C 45%
28°C 40%
22°C oder darunter
84%
23°C
45%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
25%
27°C
45%
28°C
40%
29°C
14%
30°C
14%
31°C
14%
32°C oder höher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate a potential dip in overnight lows toward or below the 23–25°C climatological average for late August, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers expected around August 27. Numerical weather models show modest cooling from a weak frontal passage and higher humidity, which limits radiative cooling but favors minima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius range. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 22°C or below at 42%, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical analogs where coastal Shandong sees brief cool spells amid otherwise stable summer warmth. Upcoming official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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