The open gubernatorial seat in Alaska, created by incumbent Mike Dunleavy's term limit, has drawn a crowded field ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary and subsequent ranked-choice general election. Trader consensus positions Tom Begich as the frontrunner, consistent with recent statewide polls showing him ahead of other Democrats and Republicans in the race. Bernadette Wilson follows as the leading Republican contender, with support from business and conservative networks, while Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Treg Taylor trail amid a fragmented field that includes Click Bishop, Nancy Dahlstrom, and Dave Bronson. Early polling trends and candidate announcements from early 2026 have shaped these probabilities, though the top-four advancement and ranked-choice voting process leave room for shifts based on primary performance and voter coalitions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTom Begich 38%
Bernadette Wilson 25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 10.1%
Treg Taylor 10.1%
$972,008 Vol.
$972,008 Vol.

Tom Begich
38%

Bernadette Wilson
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
10%

Treg Taylor
10%

Click Bishop
6%

Nancy Dahlstrom
6%

David Bronson
5%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Matt Claman
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
Tom Begich 38%
Bernadette Wilson 25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 10.1%
Treg Taylor 10.1%
$972,008 Vol.
$972,008 Vol.

Tom Begich
38%

Bernadette Wilson
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
10%

Treg Taylor
10%

Click Bishop
6%

Nancy Dahlstrom
6%

David Bronson
5%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Matt Claman
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open gubernatorial seat in Alaska, created by incumbent Mike Dunleavy's term limit, has drawn a crowded field ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary and subsequent ranked-choice general election. Trader consensus positions Tom Begich as the frontrunner, consistent with recent statewide polls showing him ahead of other Democrats and Republicans in the race. Bernadette Wilson follows as the leading Republican contender, with support from business and conservative networks, while Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Treg Taylor trail amid a fragmented field that includes Click Bishop, Nancy Dahlstrom, and Dave Bronson. Early polling trends and candidate announcements from early 2026 have shaped these probabilities, though the top-four advancement and ranked-choice voting process leave room for shifts based on primary performance and voter coalitions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes