Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic negotiations, including recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva, have reduced the near-term risk of additional expulsions of Iranian diplomats. Multiple countries, including the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Argentina, issued persona non grata orders against Iranian personnel between late 2025 and early 2026 over national security and regional tensions. Since April, however, both sides have signaled continued engagement through special envoys and foreign ministerial statements, with no verified new expulsion actions reported in the past six weeks. This shift toward structured talks on nuclear issues and regional de-escalation aligns with traders pricing an unbroken period of diplomatic stability through the June 30 resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic negotiations, including recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva, have reduced the near-term risk of additional expulsions of Iranian diplomats. Multiple countries, including the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Argentina, issued persona non grata orders against Iranian personnel between late 2025 and early 2026 over national security and regional tensions. Since April, however, both sides have signaled continued engagement through special envoys and foreign ministerial statements, with no verified new expulsion actions reported in the past six weeks. This shift toward structured talks on nuclear issues and regional de-escalation aligns with traders pricing an unbroken period of diplomatic stability through the June 30 resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volumen
$7,649Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic negotiations, including recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva, have reduced the near-term risk of additional expulsions of Iranian diplomats. Multiple countries, including the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Argentina, issued persona non grata orders against Iranian personnel between late 2025 and early 2026 over national security and regional tensions. Since April, however, both sides have signaled continued engagement through special envoys and foreign ministerial statements, with no verified new expulsion actions reported in the past six weeks. This shift toward structured talks on nuclear issues and regional de-escalation aligns with traders pricing an unbroken period of diplomatic stability through the June 30 resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,649Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic negotiations, including recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva, have reduced the near-term risk of additional expulsions of Iranian diplomats. Multiple countries, including the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Argentina, issued persona non grata orders against Iranian personnel between late 2025 and early 2026 over national security and regional tensions. Since April, however, both sides have signaled continued engagement through special envoys and foreign ministerial statements, with no verified new expulsion actions reported in the past six weeks. This shift toward structured talks on nuclear issues and regional de-escalation aligns with traders pricing an unbroken period of diplomatic stability through the June 30 resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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